MLB Home Run Predictions — April 26, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-04-26: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for April 26, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
28
HRs by scored batters
2/5
Top-5 picks that homered
6/15
Top-15 picks that homered
52.0 vs 43.1
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #3 | Kyle Schwarber | Chris Sale | 80 | A Excellent |
| #5 | Shohei Ohtani | Shota Imanaga | 79 | B AboveAvg |
| #9 | Matt Olson | Aaron Nola | 75 | B AboveAvg |
| #11 | Nathaniel Lowe | Keider Montero | 74 | B AboveAvg |
| #13 | Aaron Judge | Spencer Arrighetti | 73 | B AboveAvg |
| #14 | Gunnar Henderson | Connelly Early | 72 | B AboveAvg |
| #20 | Willson Contreras | Kyle Bradish | 69 | C+ Value |
| #22 | Spencer Torkelson | Rhett Lowder | 69 | C+ Value |
| #24 | Samuel Basallo | Connelly Early | 68 | C+ Value |
| #34 | Mike Trout | Seth Lugo | 66 | C+ Value |
| #37 | Jesús Sánchez | Slade Cecconi | 65 | C+ Value |
| #38 | Hunter Goodman | Kodai Senga | 65 | C+ Value |
| #66 | Christian Walker | Luis Gil | 58 | C BelowAvg |
| #103 | Ildemaro Vargas | Michael King | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #122 | Cal Raleigh | Michael McGreevy | 46 | D Below |
| #128 | Eli White | Aaron Nola | 44 | D Below |
| #141 | Brooks Lee | Griffin Jax | 42 | D Below |
| #143 | Isaac Paredes | Luis Gil | 42 | D Below |
| #153 | Gleyber Torres | Rhett Lowder | 40 | D Below |
| #160 | Nathan Church | Emerson Hancock | 40 | D Below |
| #173 | Bobby Witt Jr. | Reid Detmers | 38 | D Below |
| #177 | Manny Machado | Ryne Nelson | 37 | D Below |
| #178 | Casey Schmitt | Max Meyer | 37 | D Below |
| #202 | Yandy Díaz | Simeon Woods Richardson | 32 | D Below |
| #223 | Tyrone Taylor | Jose Quintana | 29 | D Below |
| #233 | JJ Bleday | Keider Montero | 28 | D Below |
| #250 | Isaac Collins | Reid Detmers | 24 | D Below |
| #270 | Lane Thomas | Reid Detmers | 15 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Christian Walker, Ildemaro Vargas, Cal Raleigh, Eli White, Brooks Lee, Isaac Paredes, Gleyber Torres, Nathan Church, Bobby Witt Jr., Manny Machado, Casey Schmitt, Yandy Díaz, Tyrone Taylor, JJ Bleday, Isaac Collins, Lane Thomas
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.