MLB Home Run Predictions — April 25, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-04-25: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for April 25, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
26
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
2/15
Top-15 picks that homered
47.9 vs 46.6
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #6 | Sal Stewart | Jack Flaherty | 84 | A Excellent |
| #8 | Elly De La Cruz | Jack Flaherty | 83 | A Excellent |
| #23 | Max Muncy | Colin Rea | 73 | B AboveAvg |
| #35 | Willson Contreras | Trevor Rogers | 67 | C+ Value |
| #37 | Spencer Torkelson | Brady Singer | 67 | C+ Value |
| #41 | Christian Walker | Ryan Weathers | 66 | C+ Value |
| #49 | Trent Grisham | Mike Burrows | 64 | C+ Value |
| #50 | Seiya Suzuki | Roki Sasaki | 64 | C+ Value |
| #114 | Max Muncy | MacKenzie Gore | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #116 | José Caballero | Mike Burrows | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #117 | Carlos Correa | Ryan Weathers | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #120 | Austin Wells | Mike Burrows | 49 | D Below |
| #138 | Caleb Durbin | Trevor Rogers | 45 | D Below |
| #152 | Andruw Monasterio | Trevor Rogers | 43 | D Below |
| #158 | TJ Friedl | Jack Flaherty | 42 | D Below |
| #162 | Alek Thomas | Germán Márquez | 41 | D Below |
| #173 | Ivan Herrera | Bryan Woo | 39 | D Below |
| #175 | Heliot Ramos | Eury Pérez | 39 | D Below |
| #185 | Julio Rodríguez | Matthew Liberatore | 35 | D Below |
| #186 | Cole Young | Matthew Liberatore | 35 | D Below |
| #188 | Casey Schmitt | Eury Pérez | 35 | D Below |
| #190 | Josh Jung | Jeffrey Springs | 35 | D Below |
| #201 | Jo Adell | Cole Ragans | 33 | D Below |
| #230 | Salvador Perez | Walbert Urena | 28 | D Below |
| #255 | Nathan Church | Bryan Woo | 18 | D Below |
| #266 | Lane Thomas | Walbert Urena | 11 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Max Muncy, José Caballero, Carlos Correa, Austin Wells, Caleb Durbin, Andruw Monasterio, TJ Friedl, Alek Thomas, Ivan Herrera, Heliot Ramos, Julio Rodríguez, Cole Young, Casey Schmitt, Josh Jung, Jo Adell, Salvador Perez, Nathan Church, Lane Thomas
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.