MLB Home Run Predictions — April 27, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-04-27: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for April 27, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
14
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
3/15
Top-15 picks that homered
44.2 vs 37.0
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #9 | Aaron Judge | Jack Leiter | 64 | C+ Value |
| #10 | Ben Rice | Jack Leiter | 63 | C+ Value |
| #11 | Daniel Schneemann | Steven Matz | 62 | C+ Value |
| #29 | Liam Hicks | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #36 | Jonathan Aranda | Parker Messick | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #43 | Jorge Soler | Anthony Kay | 47 | D Below |
| #46 | Miguel Vargas | Jack Kochanowicz | 46 | D Below |
| #53 | Byron Buxton | Luis Castillo | 43 | D Below |
| #57 | Carlos Narváez | Dylan Cease | 41 | D Below |
| #68 | Cal Raleigh | Connor Prielipp | 38 | D Below |
| #73 | Gavin Sheets | Matthew Boyd | 37 | D Below |
| #80 | Seiya Suzuki | Randy Vásquez | 33 | D Below |
| #115 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | Jack Leiter | 23 | D Below |
| #134 | Joc Pederson | Max Fried | 16 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Byron Buxton, Carlos Narváez, Cal Raleigh, Gavin Sheets, Seiya Suzuki, Jazz Chisholm Jr., Joc Pederson
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.