MLB Home Run Predictions — April 28, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-04-28: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for April 28, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
14
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
0/15
Top-15 picks that homered
41.5 vs 44.1
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #21 | Aaron Judge | Jacob deGrom | 71 | B AboveAvg |
| #32 | Pete Alonso | Kai-Wei Teng | 64 | C+ Value |
| #41 | Oneil Cruz | Kyle Leahy | 61 | C+ Value |
| #52 | Edouard Julien | Chase Burns | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #76 | Colson Montgomery | José Soriano | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #98 | Ozzie Albies | Casey Mize | 45 | D Below |
| #103 | Byron Buxton | Logan Gilbert | 44 | D Below |
| #143 | Ryan O'Hearn | Kyle Leahy | 37 | D Below |
| #170 | Bo Bichette | Zack Littell | 30 | D Below |
| #171 | Xander Bogaerts | Edward Cabrera | 30 | D Below |
| #173 | Austin Wells | Jacob deGrom | 29 | D Below |
| #190 | Josh Lowe | Davis Martin | 24 | D Below |
| #210 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | Walker Buehler | 20 | D Below |
| #214 | Josh Naylor | Joe Ryan | 17 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Edouard Julien, Colson Montgomery, Ozzie Albies, Byron Buxton, Ryan O'Hearn, Bo Bichette, Xander Bogaerts, Austin Wells, Josh Lowe, Pete Crow-Armstrong, Josh Naylor
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.