MLB Home Run Predictions — April 29, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-04-29: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for April 29, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
20
HRs by scored batters
1/5
Top-5 picks that homered
1/15
Top-15 picks that homered
32.4 vs 31.5
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #5 | Hunter Goodman | Brandon Williamson | 61 | C+ Value |
| #18 | Matt Olson | Tarik Skubal | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #24 | Liam Hicks | Tyler Glasnow | 48 | D Below |
| #42 | Willson Contreras | Eric Lauer | 44 | D Below |
| #79 | Ozzie Albies | Tarik Skubal | 39 | D Below |
| #85 | Ernie Clement | Brayan Bello | 38 | D Below |
| #97 | Mike Trout | Erick Fedde | 36 | D Below |
| #106 | Corbin Carroll | Brandon Sproat | 36 | D Below |
| #118 | Adrian Del Castillo | Brandon Sproat | 35 | D Below |
| #133 | Ketel Marte | Brandon Sproat | 32 | D Below |
| #134 | Lawrence Butler | Michael Wacha | 32 | D Below |
| #140 | Nolan Arenado | Brandon Sproat | 31 | D Below |
| #145 | Miguel Andujar | Jameson Taillon | 30 | D Below |
| #153 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | Matt Waldron | 29 | D Below |
| #176 | Matt Shaw | Matt Waldron | 24 | D Below |
| #200 | Spencer Horwitz | Andre Pallante | 21 | D Below |
| #212 | Curtis Mead | David Peterson | 19 | D Below |
| #225 | Alec Burleson | Bubba Chandler | 17 | D Below |
| #232 | Brady House | David Peterson | 16 | D Below |
| #254 | J.P. Crawford | Taj Bradley | 10 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Ozzie Albies, Ernie Clement, Mike Trout, Corbin Carroll, Adrian Del Castillo, Ketel Marte, Lawrence Butler, Nolan Arenado, Miguel Andujar, Pete Crow-Armstrong, Matt Shaw, Spencer Horwitz, Curtis Mead, Alec Burleson, Brady House, J.P. Crawford
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.