2026

MLB Home Run Predictions — April 14, 2026

The graded receipt for 2026-04-14: what the model predicted, what actually happened.

Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for April 14, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.

11
HRs by scored batters
1/5
Top-5 picks that homered
1/15
Top-15 picks that homered
40.7 vs 38.5
Avg score: HR vs miss

Catch rates by cutoff

Top 5
1/5
20.0%
Top 10
1/10
10.0%
Top 15
1/15
6.7%
Top 25
1/25
4.0%

Home runs, graded

RankBatterVs pitcherScoreTier
#2 Gary Sánchez Kevin Gausman
American Family Field
53 C BelowAvg
#33 Spencer Steer Robbie Ray
Great American Ball Park
55 C BelowAvg
#39 Francisco Lindor Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Dodger Stadium
50 C BelowAvg
#43 Carson Kelly Aaron Nola
Citizens Bank Park
54 C BelowAvg
#53 Byron Buxton Sonny Gray
Target Field
41 D Below
#74 Andres Gimenez Jacob Misiorowski
American Family Field
36 D Below
#80 Jose Ramirez Michael McGreevy
Busch Stadium
48 D Below
#95 Brooks Lee Sonny Gray
Target Field
15 D Below
#102 Daniel Schneemann Michael McGreevy
Busch Stadium
35 D Below
#137 CJ Abrams Mitch Keller
PNC Park
27 D Below
#141 Ildemaro Vargas Trevor Rogers
Camden Yards
34 D Below

Outside the top 50

Byron Buxton, Andres Gimenez, Jose Ramirez, Brooks Lee, Daniel Schneemann, CJ Abrams, Ildemaro Vargas

The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.
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