HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.54
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
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Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
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Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
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Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
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FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
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FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
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xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
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FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
6.2%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
112
Pool Matchups
7
HRs Allowed (Pool)
10
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
6.2%
HR Rate
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | Jackson Chourio | #25 | 63 | Las Vegas Ballpark | 94.5mph | 26.0° | 354ft |
| 2026-06-04 | Ian Happ | #18 | 63 | Wrigley Field | 108.1mph | 37.0° | 446ft |
| 2026-06-04 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #45 | 54 | Wrigley Field | 110.1mph | 24.0° | 383ft |
| 2026-05-18 | Zach Neto | #57 | 58 | Angel Stadium | 105.8mph | 26.0° | 413.0ft |
| 2026-05-07 | Kyle Schwarber | #16 | 46 | Citizens Bank Park | 108.8mph | 21.0° | 377.0ft |
| 2026-05-01 | Rhys Hoskins | #84 | 34 | Sutter Health Park | 95.0mph | 31.0° | 376.0ft |
| 2026-04-20 | Cal Raleigh | #109 | 35 | T-Mobile Park | 106.0mph | 32.0° | 382.0ft |
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Nolan Schanuel | #162 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Jo Adell | #130 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Oswald Peraza | #125 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Logan O'Hoppe | #100 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Vaughn Grissom | #99 | 48 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Zach Neto | #13 | 73 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Jake Mangum | #144 | 21 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Marcell Ozuna | #121 | 35 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Nick Gonzales | #103 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Ryan O'Hearn | #55 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Bryan Reynolds | #44 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Spencer Horwitz | #27 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Brandon Lowe | #14 | 70 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Luis Rengifo | #214 | 23 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Sal Frelick | #182 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Christian Yelich | #140 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | William Contreras | #120 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | David Hamilton | #77 | 51 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Garrett Mitchell | #65 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Brice Turang | #39 | 58 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Jackson Chourio | #25 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-09 | Jake Bauers | #5 | 76 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Nico Hoerner | #129 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Alex Bregman | #121 | 31 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Dansby Swanson | #116 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Pedro Ramírez | #92 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Moisés Ballesteros | #91 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Michael Busch | #70 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #45 | 54 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-06-04 | Ian Happ | #18 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-04 | Michael Conforto | #14 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-30 | José Caballero | #204 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Austin Wells | #163 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Trent Grisham | #106 | 50 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Jazz Chisholm | #101 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Paul Goldschmidt | #64 | 57 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Ryan Mcmahon | #55 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Cody Bellinger | #50 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Ben Rice | #10 | 77 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Aaron Judge | #9 | 78 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | fernando tatís | #277 | 19 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-23 | jake cronenworth | #273 | 22 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-23 | xander bogaerts | #221 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | jackson merrill | #215 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | ramón laureano | #183 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | nick castellanos | #156 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-23 | miguel andújar | #121 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-23 | manny machado | #120 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-23 | gavin sheets | #55 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Logan O'Hoppe | #186 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Nolan Schanuel | #185 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Yoán Moncada | #173 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Josh Lowe | #138 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Oswald Peraza | #90 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Jo Adell | #71 | 54 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Zach Neto | #57 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-18 | Jorge Soler | #38 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Mike Trout | #12 | 81 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Victor Scott II | #210 | 21 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Masyn Winn | #120 | 33 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Pedro Pagés | #65 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Ivan Herrera | #64 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Nolan Gorman | #39 | 45 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Nathan Church | #33 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Alec Burleson | #32 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-13 | JJ Wetherholt | #27 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Jordan Walker | #8 | 57 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-07 | Justin Crawford | #129 | 21 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-07 | Bryson Stott | #98 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-07 | J.T. Realmuto | #91 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-07 | Trea Turner | #90 | 31 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-07 | Alec Bohm | #86 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-07 | Adolis García | #63 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-07 | Bryce Harper | #48 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-07 | Brandon Marsh | #29 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-07 | Kyle Schwarber | #16 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-01 | Kyle Manzardo | #163 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Bo Naylor | #155 | 26 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Steven Kwan | #143 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Brayan Rocchio | #131 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Rhys Hoskins | #84 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-01 | Chase DeLauter | #47 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Angel Martínez | #36 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | José Ramírez | #25 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Daniel Schneemann | #17 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-26 | Alejandro Osuna | #273 | 13 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-26 | Josh Smith | #264 | 19 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-26 | Joc Pederson | #263 | 19 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-26 | Danny Jansen | #259 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-26 | Jake Burger | #212 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-26 | Evan Carter | #206 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-26 | Josh Jung | #172 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-26 | Brandon Nimmo | #151 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-26 | Corey Seager | #144 | 42 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-20 | Leo Rivas | #151 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-20 | Josh Naylor | #142 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-20 | Cole Young | #138 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-20 | Brendan Donovan | #135 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-20 | Julio Rodríguez | #126 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-20 | Cal Raleigh | #109 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-20 | J.P. Crawford | #105 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-20 | Randy Arozarena | #92 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-20 | Luke Raley | #15 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Jared Young | #224 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Marcus Semien | #156 | 32 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Bo Bichette | #97 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Carson Benge | #80 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Ronny Mauricio | #75 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Francisco Lindor | #65 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Luis Robert Jr. | #61 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Brett Baty | #49 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Francisco Alvarez | #14 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |