2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Matt Olson 7 HRs · 2 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 3 Wilyer Abreu 4 HRs · 4 Kyle Stowers 4 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 7 Ceddanne Rafaela 4 HRs · 8 Francisco Lindor 3 HRs · 9 Bryce Harper 3 HRs · 10 Ezequiel Duran 3 HRs · 11 Rafael Devers 3 HRs · 12 Royce Lewis 3 HRs 1 Matt Olson 7 HRs · 2 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 3 Wilyer Abreu 4 HRs · 4 Kyle Stowers 4 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 7 Ceddanne Rafaela 4 HRs · 8 Francisco Lindor 3 HRs · 9 Bryce Harper 3 HRs · 10 Ezequiel Duran 3 HRs · 11 Rafael Devers 3 HRs · 12 Royce Lewis 3 HRs

Public changelog

What shipped

A searchable catalogue of shipped TheHomeRuns.org releases, grouped by product lane.

Reliability 2026-07-28
The slate loads dramatically faster

The board now loads near-instantly on repeat visits. We cache the fully-built slate for the window right after it's published, so instead of rebuilding the whole page on every single visit, most visits are served in a fraction of a second — the same numbers, just far quicker to reach.

Reports & tools 2026-07-23
Ballpark Fit — see where a pitcher gets hurt

The pitcher page gets a Ballpark tab: the fence distances and wall heights of tonight's park, plus how the pitcher's home-run damage splits by venue. A quick read on which parks turn a routine fly ball into a souvenir.

Data & coverage 2026-07-22
A data-accuracy sweep across the board

A batch of fixes to the numbers behind every matchup: weather pinned to each game's actual first pitch, corrected ballpark dimensions, cleaner odds, and truer spray and bearing details — so the read on the board matches what's really happening on the field.

Data & coverage 2026-07-22
Sharper player identity — same names & doubleheaders

Two players who share a name — and the two games of a doubleheader — no longer get crossed. Every stat, headshot, matchup and lock now resolves to the right person and the right game.

Reports & tools 2026-07-21
The Dueness Calendar

A new tool that maps every hitter's home-run rhythm so you can spot who's overdue. It weighs how often a batter usually goes deep against how long it's actually been, and surfaces a 'due' read across the slate and on each batter's page.

Reports & tools 2026-07-19
Your own picks, graded in your inbox

The daily email now grades the locks you made the night before — hits, misses, and how you did — and a streak counter tracks every slate day you show up. Your results, in writing, not just ours.

Growth & access 2026-07-19
One free lock a day

Free members can now lock one pick every day from the visible top of the board, track it, and see it graded the next morning — the same habit the Pro locks are built around.

Design & polish 2026-07-19
Homepage rebuilt around the receipts

The homepage now leads with the live track record — real hit rates pulled straight from the graded results — and the daily email opens with the same proof. What you see is exactly what happened.

Data & coverage 2026-07-17
Pull% is back on the board

Spray direction returns to the slate: each hitter's pull rate, derived from real batted-ball bearings, so you can line up pull-happy bats against a short porch. Where the data isn't there, we leave it blank instead of guessing.

Design & polish 2026-07-16
Redesigned daily share card

The share card you post gets a cleaner rail layout, the Red / White / Blue mark, and crisp, aligned numbers — so when you share the board, it looks the part.

Model & accuracy 2026-07-16
Sharper pitcher matchups

The score now weighs how much hard contact each opposing pitcher actually allows, matched to each hitter.

Reliability 2026-07-14
Season Pass cancels your monthly automatically

Buy the Season Pass while you're on the $10/month plan and we now stop the monthly for you — no more paying twice. You keep the month you already paid for; it simply won't renew, and your season access is never interrupted.

Design & polish 2026-07-13
"First Half, In The Books" — All-Star break review

For the three days baseball sleeps, the slate page becomes the first-half ledger: every tier's real hit rate, the daily catch-rate trend against the field, the longest and hardest-hit homers, and who's due when the board comes back Thursday. It appears only while there are no games and retires itself the moment the schedule returns.

Design & polish 2026-07-12
"Read a game in 60 seconds" — homepage tour

A scroll-through tour on the homepage that walks a real game (Cubs @ Orioles, frozen exactly as the model scored it) through all six lenses — Overview, Game Board, Threat Matrix, Form × Fit, Conditions, Full Ledger — and lands on one pick. Six lenses, one pick, sixty seconds. Every number is real; nothing is invented.

Reliability 2026-07-12
Faster checkout — pay first, set your password after

You no longer have to create an account before you can pay. Pick a plan and go straight to secure Stripe checkout; we set up your account from there and email you a link to choose a password. One fewer wall between wanting Pro and having it.

Reliability 2026-07-10
Accurate "lineups confirmed" count on the slate

The slate header could show more games than MLB plays in a day — finished games from earlier dates were sticking around and being counted as confirmed. The live game board now tracks only today's games.

Model & accuracy 2026-07-10
Tonight's Angle starts keeping a record

The nightly Angle pick used to vanish the moment the slate re-ranked. It's now frozen at first pitch and graded against what actually happened, so it builds a real, checkable track record. The public record and reliability badge come next.

Data & coverage 2026-07-09
Player identity fix — no more mixing up same-named players

Two different players can share a name (there are two Max Muncys). We now disambiguate by team so every headshot, handedness, and stat lands on the right guy.

Reports & tools 2026-07-05
Today's Locks — the Slate Tools rail

Four tools beside your locks: what every symbol means, which of your locks homer on the same nights, how your past cards actually graded, and a share card worth posting.

Reliability 2026-07-05
Ops hardening — offsite backups and runbooks

Nightly offsite database backup tooling, a rollback runbook, uptime monitoring guide, and a rate-limited load probe. The unglamorous work that keeps the site standing.

Growth & access 2026-07-04
The free morning email, rebuilt around receipts

Free subscribers now get yesterday's full board graded — every hit and every miss, names open — plus tonight's board with scores and matchups visible. Pro Monthly also gained a 3-day free trial with an honest day-before reminder.

Growth & access 2026-07-04
Derby Pick 'Em — tickets, groups, and share cards

The Derby contest got its full experience: a three-step picks wizard, your entry as a shareable event ticket, private group challenges with standings, and link previews that show your actual card.

Growth & access 2026-07-03
Smarter onboarding — the two-week tour

New free accounts now get a short email tour of how the model and the rebuilt pages work — how scores are made, how a pick comes together, and where the public receipts live.

Growth & access 2026-07-03
Home Run Derby Pick 'Em — free contest

A free public contest for the 2026 Derby at Citizens Bank Park: pick the four semifinalists and the champion, closest tiebreaker wins ties — the top 10 cards win Pro through the end of the season.

Reports & tools 2026-07-03
Games — the six-lens deep dive

Every game page rebuilt around one decision: which side to attack and which bat to lock. Overview, Game Board, Threat Matrix, Form × Fit map, hourly Conditions, and the Full Ledger — with a verdict card and a one-pick-per-game guard.

Design & polish 2026-07-03
Analyst profiles — the analysts earned faces

Every AI analyst now has an identity: a machined eye mark seeded to them forever that earns its look over time, last-five-game form dots on every pick, and an edge profile measured against the real field average.

Reports & tools 2026-07-02
Pitcher Profile 3.0 — the Threat Matrix

The pitcher page rebuilt as the batter page's sibling: leak meter, tonight's lineup × arsenal heat grid, arsenal ledgers, BvP, HR log, and ballpark context — every cell wired to real data.

Reports & tools 2026-07-02
Today's Locks — Slate Health

Your locked slate as one live card: a cumulative power bar, spread + coach verdict from the real variance engine, a rank-spread axis with bucket quotas, and expandable per-lock signal breakdowns.

Reports & tools 2026-07-01
Batter Profile 3.0 — the Segmented redesign

The batter page rebuilt as one tabbed analysis panel: HR Profile, Pitch Analysis, Batter vs. Pitcher, HR Days, Appearances, and Ballpark — with a pinned score breakdown and your real per-batter spray chart.

Model & accuracy 2026-06-30
Public model-history page

Live at /model-history — every model weight change over time, public.

Data & coverage 2026-06-30
Phase 0 · Batter pipeline batch

Extend arsenal columns + multi-year Statcast backfill. Foundation for the batter-profile phases.

Reports & tools 2026-06-30
Phase 1 · Pitch analysis card

WHIFF% / BRL% / K% by pitch type on every batter page. Depends on Phase 0.

Reports & tools 2026-06-30
Phase 2 · Batter vs Pitcher head-to-head

Lifetime BvP stats + recent-AB detail on every batter page. Depends on Phase 0.

Reports & tools 2026-06-28
HR Explorer — every home run, one timeline

A new public page that plots every home run of the season as a clickable pill on a horizontal timeline. Recolor the same pills six ways — park, distance, exit velo, pitcher hand, team, pitch type — to surface patterns, filter to the loudest barrels and model picks, and click any pill for the full Statcast and model context.

Reports & tools 2026-06-28
HR Shape refactor — ridge view, presets & deep links

The Home Run Shape profile map got a major UX pass: a new ridgeline view alongside the grid, one-click 'Start here' preset combos, a hover dot that glides along the curve, and full deep-linkable view state so any shape can be shared by URL.

Growth & access 2026-06-24 Build 501
SEO Phase 2 — entity pages

Pitcher, game, and matchup pages became their own indexable pages with structured data.

Growth & access 2026-06-24 Build 502
Track record at the wall

The model's real track record now shows right where you decide to go Pro.

Growth & access 2026-06-24 Build 503
Shareable daily slate

One-tap share cards for the daily slate, ready for Reddit and X.

Reports & tools 2026-06-21
Public Roadmap + accented-name matching

Shipped a public Roadmap page and fixed accented-name matching so players stop dropping off pages.

Growth & access 2026-06-20 Build 482
First-run onboarding

New visitors land straight on the slate and start receiving the daily email, with Day-1 full access.

Reports & tools 2026-06-19
Pitcher headshots on the reports

Real MLB headshots replaced gray silhouettes on the pitcher reports, with a sturdier matchup-stat fallback.

Reports & tools 2026-06-17 Build 477
Per-hour stadium conditions

Every game page now shows per-hour ballpark conditions — wind, temperature, and roof state.

Design & polish 2026-06-15
Red / White / Blue rebrand

A full Red / White / Blue brand refresh — new logo, simplified color system, and refreshed share card.

Design & polish 2026-06-14
Slate symbol guide drawer

A Guide drawer on the slate explains what every badge and icon means.

Growth & access 2026-06-13
SEO Phase 1 — discoverable pages

Search engines can now find and index every player and game page.

Model & accuracy 2026-05-26
Public Methodology page

Published a public Methodology page that plainly defines how the model's accuracy is measured, with Track Record and How-It-Works aligned to match.

Design & polish 2026-05-25
Mobile slate polish + clearer results

Made the mobile slate cleaner and more stable, and clarified past-slate results so a missing result reads differently from a true miss.

Reports & tools 2026-05-13
Statcast HR profiles + percentile bars

Every player page gained a Statcast-style home-run profile with league-wide percentile bars, plus live lineup-confirmation indicators on each game.

Reports & tools 2026-05-06
Live in-game tracking + mobile app

Live in-game tracking arrived — tiles update in real time and pop a home-run alert the moment one lands — with a mobile polish pass and installable-app support.

Model & accuracy 2026-04-29
Sharper left/right matchups

Improved how the model reads left/right matchups using richer batted-ball data, and made player search and pages cleaner.

Reports & tools 2026-04-21
Pick tracking, watchlist & locks

A full pick-tracking workflow — watchlist, locks, and a personal lock-history page — plus clearer navigation and legal pages.

Reports & tools 2026-04-16
Track Record + daily research reports

Launched a public Track Record page plus four daily research reports, and refreshed the daily email.

Growth & access 2026-04-15
Create an account and sign in

You can now create an account and sign in. Accounts are optional and everything stays publicly viewable — signing in sets up the saved, personalized features.

Design & polish 2026-04-14
A cleaner pick view, with league-wide player photos

The detailed pick view got a cleaner, tighter layout, and player photos now appear for essentially every MLB player instead of just a handful.

Reports & tools 2026-04-12
A full daily dashboard

The daily slate became a full interactive dashboard — one sortable table of the day's hitters with hover details that explain why each pick ranks where it does.

Reports & tools 2026-03-29
Daily picks land in your inbox

The model now emails a clean daily slate every morning, plus a results recap showing how the prior day's picks actually did.

Model & accuracy 2026-03-27
Smarter rankings: backtest, confirmed lineups, corrected parks

The model got measurably sharper — validated against a full prior season, upgrading to confirmed starting lineups as they post, with corrected home-run factors for all 30 ballparks.

Model & accuracy 2026-03-26
LongDong 3.0 launches

The first daily home-run model came online — it scores every batter-vs-pitcher matchup on the slate and ranks the hitters most likely to go deep. This is the engine the whole site is built on.

No matching releases.

THR 3.3.155 · build 661

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.

Yesterday's board graded name-by-name — hits and misses — plus tonight's ranked board (scores and matchups; batter names are Pro), free in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.