The daily home-run model goes live

The first daily home-run model came online — the engine the whole site is built on. Every day it scores each batter-vs-pitcher matchup on the slate and ranks the hitters most likely to go deep.

• A matchup-scoring engine that rates each hitter's home-run chances against the day's starting pitcher and ballpark.
• At its core: how often a hitter turns fly balls into home runs, weighed against how often that pitcher allows them, adjusted for the park.
• Supporting context layered around that core number — quality of contact, exit velocity, pull tendency, and a recent-form read.
• The first live slate scored 15 matchups and correctly flagged the day's standout home-run hitter.