Jorge Mateo
ATL
· 45 appearances tracked
3
HRs
6.7%
HR Rate
16.1%
Avg HR/FB
89.4
Avg EV
0.145
ISO
#18
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-10-17
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
51.1%
2
Breaking
34.2%
2
Offspeed
14.6%
0
All
100%
6.5%
4
31.5%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
31.5
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
3 this season · avg 425 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
May 31
@ CIN · Nick Lodolo
—
108.4
425
HR by month
May
All Appearances
45 tracked · 3 HR · 7 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 27
vs TB · Zack Wheeler
3
105.1
3 BIP
Sep 25
vs TB · Cristopher Sánchez
2
91.7
2 BIP
Sep 23
vs TB · Gerrit Cole
1
58.4
1 BIP
Sep 22
vs TB · Carlos Rodón
1
88.7
1 BIP
Sep 19
vs BOS · Brayan Bello
0
—
—
Sep 16
vs ATH · Brady Basso
2
90.5
2 BIP
Sep 15
vs ATH · Jack Perkins
1
74.0
1 BIP
Sep 12
vs HOU · Peter Lambert
1
90.8
1 BIP
Sep 11
vs HOU · Miguel Ullola
2
85.7
2 BIP
Sep 10
vs TB · Martín Pérez
2
82.6
2 BIP
Sep 9
vs TB · Reynaldo López
3
87.0
3 BIP
Sep 8
vs TB · AJ Smith-Shawver
2
83.5
2 BIP
Sep 6
vs TB · MacKenzie Gore
3
101.9
3 BIP
Sep 1
vs NYM · Sean Manaea
3
88.3
3 BIP
Aug 30
vs SD · Robbie Ray
3
96.4
3 BIP
Aug 28
vs SD · Casey Mize
4
99.5
4 BIP
Aug 26
vs TB · Troy Melton
2
101.0
2 BIP
Aug 24
vs TB · Framber Valdez
2
92.8
2 BIP
Aug 21
vs TB · Trevor Rogers
3
79.1
3 BIP
Aug 20
vs TOR · Shane Bieber
2
82.5
2 BIP
Aug 17
vs BAL · Brandon Young
2
101.7
HR
2 BIP
Aug 16
vs BAL · Trevor Rogers
3
86.7
3 BIP
Jul 24
@ BAL · Trevor Rogers
2
91.9
2 BIP
Jul 11
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
2
95.4
2 BIP
Jul 8
@ PIT · Jared Jones
1
77.7
1 BIP
Jul 4
vs NYM · Sean Manaea
2
100.7
2 BIP
Jul 3
vs NYM · Christian Scott
1
100.6
1 BIP
Jul 1
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
3
90.3
3 BIP
Jun 30
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
1
102.3
1 BIP
Jun 20
vs MIL · Kyle Harrison
1
90.4
1 BIP
Jun 19
vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
2
103.2
2 BIP
Jun 13
@ NYM · Sean Manaea
1
92.7
1 BIP
Jun 11
@ CWS · Anthony Kay
0
—
—
Jun 10
@ CWS · Davis Martin
3
109.3
3 BIP
Jun 7
vs PIT · Mason Montgomery
2
105.2
2 BIP
Jun 2
vs TOR · Kevin Gausman
1
45.0
1 BIP
May 31
@ CIN · Nick Lodolo
3
108.4
HR
3 BIP
May 30
@ CIN · Brady Singer
3
106.6
HR
3 BIP
May 29
@ CIN · Chris Paddack
4
103.3
4 BIP
May 28
@ BOS · Payton Tolle
3
107.5
3 BIP
May 27
@ BOS · Connelly Early
4
107.4
4 BIP
May 17
vs BOS · Brayan Bello
2
103.7
2 BIP
Apr 30
vs DET · Framber Valdez
1
97.7
1 BIP
Apr 26
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
2
96.0
2 BIP
Mar 29
vs KC · Seth Lugo
2
88.4
2 BIP
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game —
Dueness now
1.25×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
16 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
20 gm
since his last HR, Aug 17
Season
3 HR
45 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 2 gaps · median 16 gm · MAD ± 7.5 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Jorge Mateo
Will Jorge Mateo hit a home run today?
Jorge Mateo is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 3 times in 45 scored games (about 7% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Jorge Mateo hit home runs?
Across 45 scored games this season, Jorge Mateo has 3 home runs — one every 15.0 games, or about 7% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.