⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
SF
@ 7:15p
BAL
Camden Yards · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.25×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.500
Temp
58.3°F
Wind
12.3 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willy Adames Willy Adames 62 🔵 C+ · · 28 0.196 88.9 10.3% 15.1% 401 18.2% 18.2% 16.8% 38
2 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 55 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 53 0.132 87.7 6.0% 8.3% 396 16.7% 16.7% 13.3% 24
3 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 51 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 68 0.198 92.2 9.2% 14.8% 399 9.1% 9.1% 15.8% 38
4 Wilmer Flores Wilmer Flores 51 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 69 0.138 85.9 6.4% 10.7% 378 0.0% 0.0% 15.8% 36
5 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 78 0.163 89.5 8.8% 12.1% 394 0.0% 0.0% 11.8% 15
6 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 43 ⚪ D · · 120 0.141 87.1 5.6% 4.9% 381 9.1% 9.1% 6.5% 32
7 Heliot Ramos Heliot Ramos 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 124 0.144 91.8 8.6% 11.9% 403 0.0% 0.0% 10.3% 27
8 Tyler Fitzgerald Tyler Fitzgerald 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 164 0.111 84.5 6.2% 6.3% 380 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 1
9 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 37 ⚪ D · · 169 0.103 88.2 6.9% 4.9% 379 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 28
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 61 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 33 0.165 92.1 8.4% 12.3% 393 36.4% 40.0% 17.5% 34
2 Jordan Westburg Jordan Westburg 57 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 48 0.192 90.2 9.6% 16.0% 397 0.0% 0.0% 23.3% 29
3 Tyler O'Neill Tyler O'Neill 51 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 70 0.193 88.8 11.7% 13.0% 406 10.0% 11.1% 12.5% 21
4 Jackson Holliday Jackson Holliday 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 95 0.133 88.8 8.1% 11.2% 393 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 39
5 Colton Cowser Colton Cowser 45 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 101 0.190 90.9 10.8% 20.5% 405 0.0% 0.0% 15.5% 15
6 Coby Mayo Coby Mayo 39 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 150 0.171 87.3 9.2% 12.1% 405 0.0% 0.0% 10.7% 18
7 Dylan Carlson Dylan Carlson 39 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 152 0.134 88.4 7.5% 8.6% 376 0.0% 0.0% 8.8% 2
8 Adley Rutschman Adley Rutschman 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 158 0.146 89.4 7.9% 8.5% 395 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 24
9 Ryan Mountcastle Ryan Mountcastle 35 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 184 0.117 90.7 9.8% 8.9% 404 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 11
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