CLE
@
7:15p
ATL
Park Factor
1.18×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.060
Temp
61.1°F
Wind
4.4 mph
cross
Roof
open
Martín Pérez
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Manzardo | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 13 | 0.221 | 90.3 | 13.3% | 16.3% | 392 | 7.1% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 20 |
| 2 |
|
Gabriel Arias | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 29 | 0.144 | 90.2 | 13.0% | 12.6% | 415 | 7.7% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 14 |
| 3 |
|
Jose Ramirez | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 40 | 0.219 | 88.9 | 10.2% | 12.3% | 380 | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Bo Naylor | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 47 | 0.184 | 89.6 | 12.1% | 10.4% | 399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 17 |
| 5 |
|
Daniel Schneemann | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 55 | 0.148 | 88.9 | 13.1% | 12.2% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 19 |
| 6 |
|
Angel Martinez | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 65 | 0.135 | 87.1 | 7.2% | 7.5% | 373 | 7.7% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Brayan Rocchio | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 129 | 0.108 | 88.0 | 7.0% | 5.3% | 385 | 7.1% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
Nolan Jones | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 132 | 0.093 | 90.8 | 11.3% | 5.7% | 413 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Steven Kwan ⚡ | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 187 | 0.102 | 86.2 | 5.3% | 5.4% | 381 | 7.1% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 39 |
Parker Messick
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 15 | 0.212 | 93.3 | 9.1% | 16.0% | 407 | 23.1% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 31 | 0.195 | 91.7 | 8.0% | 18.1% | 398 | 38.5% | 33.3% | 24.4% | 44 |
| 3 | Michael Harris II | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 58 | 0.160 | 90.2 | 7.3% | 12.5% | 411 | 15.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 38 | |
| 4 |
|
Ronald Acuna Jr. | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 66 | 0.228 | 92.7 | 9.5% | 23.1% | 419 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.1% | 42 |
| 5 |
|
Jurickson Profar | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 108 | 0.189 | 89.0 | 6.5% | 11.3% | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.9% | 0 |
| 6 |
|
Austin Riley | 40 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 137 | 0.168 | 92.3 | 9.4% | 12.4% | 413 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 34 |
| 7 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 38 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 155 | 0.168 | 89.9 | 8.1% | 15.0% | 411 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.3% | 22 |
| 8 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 168 | 0.124 | 87.5 | 5.3% | 7.2% | 380 | 15.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 41 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Allen | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 232 | 0.030 | 84.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.2% | 7 |