⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
BOS
@ 7:15p
STL
Busch Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.91×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
0.906
Temp
52.0°F
Wind
8.0 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 59 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 42 0.223 90.8 11.0% 15.2% 400 25.0% 27.3% 14.9% 36
2 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 121 0.189 90.1 8.0% 11.2% 386 7.7% 8.3% 6.4% 41
3 Roman Anthony Roman Anthony 40 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 144 0.171 94.5 12.3% 14.8% 406 9.1% 10.0% 6.7% 27
4 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 40 ⚪ D · · 148 0.165 88.3 9.5% 9.3% 391 9.1% 10.0% 5.1% 26
5 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 177 0.185 91.8 9.8% 9.0% 401 0.0% 0.0% 5.6% 21
6 Trevor Story Trevor Story 35 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 185 0.170 91.4 9.8% 15.2% 388 8.3% 9.1% 6.7% 35
7 Carlos Narvaez Carlos Narvaez 34 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 190 0.179 91.1 9.4% 13.6% 387 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 20
8 Romy Gonzalez Romy Gonzalez 34 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 191 0.178 93.3 11.1% 12.7% 413 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 32
9 Abraham Toro Abraham Toro 27 ⚪ D · · 216 0.131 86.3 6.6% 8.5% 387 0.0% 0.0% 4.9% 0
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 43 ⚪ D · · 115 0.190 90.6 8.7% 15.2% 407 9.1% 10.0% 13.6% 27
2 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 36 ⚪ D · · 176 0.169 91.0 7.2% 10.2% 408 8.3% 0.0% 6.6% 41
3 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 178 0.165 89.6 7.1% 12.7% 409 10.0% 11.1% 12.2% 24
4 Brendan Donovan Brendan Donovan 31 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 198 0.135 89.7 7.0% 6.9% 387 22.2% 12.5% 7.0% 25
5 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 201 0.180 91.2 7.8% 19.4% 407 0.0% 0.0% 9.7% 32
6 Lars Nootbaar Lars Nootbaar 30 ⚪ D · · 205 0.128 91.3 7.5% 7.3% 388 0.0% 0.0% 5.4% 0
7 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 20 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 224 0.140 86.8 4.6% 7.5% 383 0.0% 0.0% 4.7% 31
8 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 20 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 226 0.110 88.3 5.1% 5.7% 388 0.0% 0.0% 3.9% 27
9 Victor Scott II Victor Scott II 13 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 234 0.080 86.1 4.5% 4.9% 397 0.0% 0.0% 3.6% 28
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