BOS
@
7:15p
STL
Park Factor
0.91×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
0.906
Temp
52.0°F
Wind
8.0 mph
out
Roof
open
Kyle Leahy
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 42 | 0.223 | 90.8 | 11.0% | 15.2% | 400 | 25.0% | 27.3% | 14.9% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Alex Bregman | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 121 | 0.189 | 90.1 | 8.0% | 11.2% | 386 | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 41 |
| 3 |
|
Roman Anthony | 40 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 144 | 0.171 | 94.5 | 12.3% | 14.8% | 406 | 9.1% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 148 | 0.165 | 88.3 | 9.5% | 9.3% | 391 | 9.1% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Jarren Duran | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 177 | 0.185 | 91.8 | 9.8% | 9.0% | 401 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 21 |
| 6 |
|
Trevor Story | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 185 | 0.170 | 91.4 | 9.8% | 15.2% | 388 | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 35 |
| 7 |
|
Carlos Narvaez | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 190 | 0.179 | 91.1 | 9.4% | 13.6% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 20 |
| 8 |
|
Romy Gonzalez | 34 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 191 | 0.178 | 93.3 | 11.1% | 12.7% | 413 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 32 |
| 9 |
|
Abraham Toro | 27 | ⚪ D | · | · | 216 | 0.131 | 86.3 | 6.6% | 8.5% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.9% | 0 |
Ranger Suarez
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 115 | 0.190 | 90.6 | 8.7% | 15.2% | 407 | 9.1% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Alec Burleson | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 176 | 0.169 | 91.0 | 7.2% | 10.2% | 408 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 41 |
| 3 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 178 | 0.165 | 89.6 | 7.1% | 12.7% | 409 | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 24 |
| 4 |
|
Brendan Donovan | 31 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 198 | 0.135 | 89.7 | 7.0% | 6.9% | 387 | 22.2% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 201 | 0.180 | 91.2 | 7.8% | 19.4% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Lars Nootbaar | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 205 | 0.128 | 91.3 | 7.5% | 7.3% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Nolan Arenado ⚡ | 20 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 224 | 0.140 | 86.8 | 4.6% | 7.5% | 383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.7% | 31 |
| 8 |
|
Masyn Winn | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 226 | 0.110 | 88.3 | 5.1% | 5.7% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.9% | 27 |
| 9 |
|
Victor Scott II | 13 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 234 | 0.080 | 86.1 | 4.5% | 4.9% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.6% | 28 |