⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
NYY
@ 6:10p
TB
Tropicana Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.03×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.031
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ben Rice Ben Rice 73 🟡 B · 🔥 HOT 7 0.244 93.3 10.3% 17.1% 400 20.0% 22.2% 26.1% 22
2 Aaron Judge Aaron Judge 72 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 8 0.357 95.4 13.1% 29.4% 408 18.2% 10.0% 28.4% 29
3 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 51 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 67 0.238 89.0 10.2% 20.7% 387 0.0% 0.0% 16.6% 26
4 Trent Grisham Trent Grisham 50 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 77 0.229 91.1 9.9% 21.5% 389 0.0% 0.0% 16.3% 24
5 Cody Bellinger Cody Bellinger 50 🟠 C · · 79 0.207 88.3 7.2% 11.9% 386 9.1% 10.0% 11.0% 33
6 Austin Wells Austin Wells 49 ⚪ D · · 84 0.217 90.6 8.4% 14.0% 380 0.0% 0.0% 12.5% 16
7 Anthony Volpe Anthony Volpe 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 125 0.180 89.3 8.5% 11.0% 385 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 25
8 Paul Goldschmidt Paul Goldschmidt 42 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 128 0.129 90.4 7.4% 6.5% 388 9.1% 10.0% 6.4% 2
9 Jasson Dominguez Jasson Dominguez 37 ⚪ D · · 166 0.131 90.6 7.0% 9.7% 391 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 0
Max Fried
Max Fried LHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 60 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 38 0.271 92.4 9.8% 24.5% 392 18.2% 18.2% 18.4% 37
2 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 51 🟠 C · · 73 0.173 93.0 9.4% 14.7% 398 18.2% 18.2% 9.6% 39
3 Yandy Diaz Yandy Diaz 49 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 82 0.182 93.0 7.6% 18.2% 379 25.0% 25.0% 16.8% 39
4 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 47 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 92 0.221 91.1 9.4% 22.0% 400 10.0% 10.0% 14.4% 27
5 Josh Lowe Josh Lowe 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 98 0.146 88.6 6.4% 12.9% 392 11.1% 11.1% 8.2% 18
6 Christopher Morel Christopher Morel 44 ⚪ D · · 110 0.176 91.8 10.1% 14.5% 404 0.0% 0.0% 11.7% 0
7 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 20 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 225 0.099 87.0 4.7% 4.8% 388 0.0% 0.0% 4.0% 11
8 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 16 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 231 0.072 87.3 4.2% 4.1% 405 0.0% 0.0% 3.7% 23
9 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 14 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 233 0.051 84.3 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 45
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