⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
LAA
@ 4:10p
CIN
Great American Ball Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.28×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.021
Temp
48.4°F
Wind
6.0 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 75 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 5 0.176 91.0 12.2% 15.7% 405 23.1% 25.0% 36.7% 35
2 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 73 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 6 0.191 90.5 14.5% 18.3% 387 7.7% 8.3% 43.0% 20
3 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 63 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 23 0.173 87.3 10.6% 12.1% 388 0.0% 0.0% 18.8% 31
4 Austin Hays Austin Hays 62 🔵 C+ · ❄ COLD 25 0.187 88.8 12.4% 14.7% 396 8.3% 9.1% 25.1% 18
5 Noelvi Marte Noelvi Marte 56 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 50 0.186 88.5 11.5% 15.4% 406 0.0% 0.0% 22.8% 12
6 Matt McLain Matt McLain 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 61 0.124 88.8 10.6% 9.9% 391 0.0% 0.0% 12.9% 38
7 Gavin Lux Gavin Lux 43 ⚪ D · · 117 0.105 88.3 7.3% 5.3% 370 0.0% 0.0% 11.8% 0
8 TJ Friedl TJ Friedl 36 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 172 0.117 87.1 6.3% 8.2% 385 0.0% 0.0% 11.7% 34
9 Santiago Espinal Santiago Espinal 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 215 0.040 86.5 3.2% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 2.8% 8
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Zach Neto Zach Neto 70 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 11 0.217 91.0 11.2% 17.8% 404 33.3% 30.0% 34.2% 32
2 Jo Adell Jo Adell 67 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 14 0.249 91.7 12.5% 22.0% 411 8.3% 10.0% 25.4% 38
3 Yoan Moncada Yoan Moncada 64 🔵 C+ · · 18 0.214 89.8 11.3% 16.4% 393 9.1% 11.1% 25.9% 15
4 Jorge Soler Jorge Soler 64 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 19 0.172 89.7 10.7% 15.6% 400 33.3% 40.0% 25.4% 24
5 Mike Trout Mike Trout 64 🔵 C+ · · 21 0.206 90.9 11.9% 21.3% 408 16.7% 0.0% 21.1% 26
6 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 60 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 36 0.247 90.1 11.1% 18.2% 396 0.0% 0.0% 23.1% 37
7 Logan O'Hoppe Logan O'Hoppe 49 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 83 0.158 90.9 10.9% 16.4% 402 0.0% 0.0% 14.2% 24
8 Nolan Schanuel Nolan Schanuel 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 113 0.125 87.5 6.4% 8.2% 394 16.7% 10.0% 8.3% 36
9 Luis Rengifo Luis Rengifo 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 140 0.098 87.1 6.7% 8.8% 392 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 30
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