⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
COL
@ 8:40p
SD
Petco Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.88×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.792
Temp
61.8°F
Wind
3.9 mph
cross
Roof
open
Germán Márquez
Germán Márquez RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Mickey Moniak Mickey Moniak 64 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 20 0.249 89.7 12.3% 16.8% 411 20.0% 22.2% 24.1% 21
2 Hunter Goodman Hunter Goodman 62 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 26 0.243 90.8 11.9% 18.6% 409 18.2% 20.0% 24.1% 25
3 Ezequiel Tovar Ezequiel Tovar 47 ⚪ D · · 96 0.147 89.4 10.1% 9.0% 406 8.3% 9.1% 6.3% 36
4 Michael Toglia Michael Toglia 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 119 0.163 89.9 10.6% 15.3% 413 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 9
5 Jordan Beck Jordan Beck 42 ⚪ D · · 126 0.158 87.4 10.3% 12.2% 414 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 17
6 Brenton Doyle Brenton Doyle 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 127 0.143 89.9 10.9% 11.2% 408 8.3% 9.1% 6.8% 25
7 Kyle Farmer Kyle Farmer 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 175 0.137 87.0 8.2% 10.7% 397 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 3
8 Ryan Ritter Ryan Ritter 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 213 0.096 85.2 4.1% 3.1% 354 0.0% 0.0% 4.1% 4
9 Tyler Freeman Tyler Freeman 19 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 227 0.080 90.1 4.8% 2.3% 410 0.0% 0.0% 2.8% 13
Ryan Feltner
Ryan Feltner RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 48 ⚪ D · · 90 0.193 89.7 7.3% 11.9% 391 20.0% 20.0% 9.2% 39
2 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 40 ⚪ D · · 136 0.177 89.9 6.2% 11.9% 402 10.0% 10.0% 11.4% 29
3 Fernando Tatis Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 139 0.178 93.3 6.7% 15.8% 409 0.0% 0.0% 9.5% 33
4 Manny Machado Manny Machado 37 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 163 0.185 92.9 7.3% 13.1% 396 10.0% 10.0% 9.0% 25
5 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 33 ⚪ D · · 193 0.128 89.0 5.3% 7.8% 389 10.0% 10.0% 4.9% 44
6 Jake Cronenworth Jake Cronenworth 32 ⚪ D · · 196 0.131 88.5 5.0% 9.1% 396 10.0% 10.0% 5.3% 33
7 Elias Diaz Elias Diaz 29 ⚪ D · · 209 0.133 88.4 5.5% 10.1% 386 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 0
8 Jose Iglesias Jose Iglesias 17 ⚪ D · · 228 0.065 84.0 2.9% 4.9% 391 0.0% 0.0% 4.9% 0
9 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 17 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 229 0.100 86.1 2.1% 4.4% 370 0.0% 0.0% 3.7% 45
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