⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
TEX
@ 9:10p
LAD
Dodger Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.37×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
1.237
Temp
57.2°F
Wind
3.6 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Shohei Ohtani Shohei Ohtani 82 🟢 A · · 2 0.340 94.9 15.9% 29.4% 406 9.1% 11.1% 43.4% 31
2 Max Muncy Max Muncy 76 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 4 0.227 91.3 12.1% 16.8% 400 22.7% 26.3% 30.4% 58
3 Freddie Freeman Freddie Freeman 69 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 12 0.207 90.9 10.6% 15.1% 406 18.2% 22.2% 23.1% 41
4 Andy Pages Andy Pages 66 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 16 0.189 88.6 9.5% 14.1% 397 27.3% 22.2% 23.2% 30
5 Teoscar Hernandez Teoscar Hernandez 64 🔵 C+ · · 17 0.207 90.2 11.1% 17.7% 397 10.0% 12.5% 27.3% 25
6 Will Smith Will Smith 61 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 34 0.202 91.3 11.5% 13.3% 399 18.2% 11.1% 14.3% 27
7 Mookie Betts Mookie Betts 47 ⚪ D · · 94 0.148 89.1 7.7% 8.2% 390 10.0% 0.0% 9.8% 17
8 Michael Conforto Michael Conforto 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 97 0.134 89.9 10.2% 10.3% 408 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 9
9 Tommy Edman Tommy Edman 45 ⚪ D · · 102 0.156 88.3 7.0% 13.4% 392 0.0% 0.0% 13.8% 0
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corey Seager Corey Seager 71 🟡 B · · 10 0.216 92.9 12.4% 20.0% 400 33.3% 36.4% 30.4% 30
2 Jake Burger Jake Burger 61 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 35 0.183 90.4 11.8% 13.6% 406 16.7% 9.1% 12.6% 33
3 Adolis Garcia Adolis Garcia 58 🟠 C · · 46 0.168 92.1 10.8% 10.9% 403 20.0% 22.2% 12.7% 33
4 Wyatt Langford Wyatt Langford 54 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 57 0.190 91.4 11.9% 15.1% 393 8.3% 9.1% 13.8% 38
5 Kyle Higashioka Kyle Higashioka 50 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 76 0.162 88.9 9.3% 10.9% 386 9.1% 10.0% 16.8% 9
6 Jonah Heim Jonah Heim 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 106 0.119 88.1 7.8% 9.0% 381 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 10
7 Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 40 ⚪ D · · 143 0.134 88.3 8.2% 8.5% 391 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 36
8 Josh Jung Josh Jung 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 153 0.139 89.3 9.1% 10.8% 387 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 23
9 Josh Smith Josh Smith 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 154 0.115 87.2 7.1% 7.1% 389 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 30
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