HOU
@
9:40p
SEA
Park Factor
0.82×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind in · retractable roof
Combined
0.654
Temp
48.8°F
Wind
6.3 mph
in
Roof
retractable
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | ❄ COLD | 24 | 0.342 | 91.3 | 14.9% | 25.3% | 392 | 8.3% | 10.0% | 18.6% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 71 | 0.181 | 92.3 | 12.8% | 17.7% | 412 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 11.5% | 17 |
| 3 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 93 | 0.188 | 91.3 | 11.5% | 15.6% | 399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Jorge Polanco | 44 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 109 | 0.229 | 90.8 | 10.8% | 14.9% | 382 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.4% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Julio Rodriguez | 42 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 123 | 0.207 | 91.8 | 10.6% | 18.5% | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.5% | 35 |
| 6 | J.P. Crawford | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 147 | 0.105 | 87.2 | 7.4% | 8.5% | 381 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.8% | 12 | |
| 7 |
|
Mitch Garver | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 157 | 0.134 | 91.5 | 9.5% | 10.8% | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 4 |
| 8 |
|
Cole Young | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 194 | 0.094 | 87.6 | 8.0% | 5.2% | 402 | 16.7% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 32 |
| 9 |
|
Ben Williamson | 17 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 230 | 0.058 | 88.3 | 6.1% | 1.8% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.7% | 27 |
Luis Castillo
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Christian Walker | 53 | 🟠 C | · | · | 60 | 0.183 | 90.9 | 11.6% | 14.7% | 396 | 23.1% | 27.3% | 13.2% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Cam Smith | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 80 | 0.122 | 87.9 | 8.5% | 9.6% | 395 | 23.1% | 27.3% | 8.3% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Jose Altuve | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 130 | 0.177 | 85.1 | 8.0% | 13.6% | 384 | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 180 | 0.204 | 87.4 | 8.1% | 14.0% | 375 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 19 |
| 5 |
|
Mauricio Dubon | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 188 | 0.114 | 84.5 | 3.5% | 5.5% | 384 | 9.1% | 11.1% | 3.9% | 39 |
| 6 |
|
Victor Caratini | 33 | ⚪ D | · | · | 192 | 0.145 | 88.7 | 8.9% | 11.0% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.8% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
Jeremy Pena | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 202 | 0.172 | 88.9 | 9.2% | 12.8% | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 29 |
| 8 |
|
Yainer Diaz | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 203 | 0.161 | 89.9 | 10.0% | 12.7% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 31 |
| 9 |
|
Jake Meyers | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 208 | 0.082 | 88.1 | 7.2% | 3.8% | 378 | 9.1% | 11.1% | 3.1% | 28 |