⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
HOU
@ 9:40p
SEA
T-Mobile Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.82×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind in · retractable roof
Combined
0.654
Temp
48.8°F
Wind
6.3 mph
in
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 63 🔵 C+ · ❄ COLD 24 0.342 91.3 14.9% 25.3% 392 8.3% 10.0% 18.6% 31
2 Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone 51 🟠 C · · 71 0.181 92.3 12.8% 17.7% 412 8.3% 0.0% 11.5% 17
3 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 47 ⚪ D · · 93 0.188 91.3 11.5% 15.6% 399 0.0% 0.0% 11.2% 33
4 Jorge Polanco Jorge Polanco 44 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 109 0.229 90.8 10.8% 14.9% 382 0.0% 0.0% 13.4% 32
5 Julio Rodriguez Julio Rodriguez 42 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 123 0.207 91.8 10.6% 18.5% 403 0.0% 0.0% 13.5% 35
6 J.P. Crawford 40 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 147 0.105 87.2 7.4% 8.5% 381 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 12
7 Mitch Garver Mitch Garver 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 157 0.134 91.5 9.5% 10.8% 404 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 4
8 Cole Young Cole Young 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 194 0.094 87.6 8.0% 5.2% 402 16.7% 10.0% 4.5% 32
9 Ben Williamson Ben Williamson 17 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 230 0.058 88.3 6.1% 1.8% 398 0.0% 0.0% 2.7% 27
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Christian Walker Christian Walker 53 🟠 C · · 60 0.183 90.9 11.6% 14.7% 396 23.1% 27.3% 13.2% 39
2 Cam Smith Cam Smith 50 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 80 0.122 87.9 8.5% 9.6% 395 23.1% 27.3% 8.3% 31
3 Jose Altuve Jose Altuve 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 130 0.177 85.1 8.0% 13.6% 384 7.7% 9.1% 9.7% 33
4 Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 180 0.204 87.4 8.1% 14.0% 375 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 19
5 Mauricio Dubon Mauricio Dubon 35 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 188 0.114 84.5 3.5% 5.5% 384 9.1% 11.1% 3.9% 39
6 Victor Caratini Victor Caratini 33 ⚪ D · · 192 0.145 88.7 8.9% 11.0% 387 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 33
7 Jeremy Pena Jeremy Pena 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 202 0.172 88.9 9.2% 12.8% 380 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 29
8 Yainer Diaz Yainer Diaz 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 203 0.161 89.9 10.0% 12.7% 395 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 31
9 Jake Meyers Jake Meyers 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 208 0.082 88.1 7.2% 3.8% 378 9.1% 11.1% 3.1% 28
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