LongDong™ — SF @ ATL

@ 7:15p

ATL

Truist Park · 30 ranked batters

Stadium Conditions

Truist Park

First pitch 7:15p · roof open

Park 0.92× Wind 3 mph out 87°F open

-9

10 mph · in

78°F

7:15p

Suppress for HR environment

-9

10 mph · in

78°F

8:15p

Suppress for HR environment

-9

10 mph · in

78°F

9:15p

Suppress for HR environment

-9

10 mph · in

78°F

10:15p

Suppress for HR environment

-9

10 mph · in

78°F

11:15p

Suppress for HR environment

⚪ Boost · Combined 1.11

87°F, wind 3 mph SW (out) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

SF Bullpen Proxy

1.03 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.00 ·

7 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Matt Olson	74	🟡 B	+750	·	11	0.297	93.5	14.4%	22.7%	409	24.3%	16.7%	25.3%	30
2	Drake Baldwin	70	🟡 B	+750	·	16	0.238	92.8	18.6%	30.2%	402	24.5%	0.0%	19.7%	0
3	Austin Riley	44	⚪ D	+850	·	129	0.168	90.8	10.2%	12.5%	409	8.7%	0.0%	9.0%	24
4	Dominic Smith	39	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	156	0.148	88.8	7.2%	11.1%	390	9.1%	11.1%	7.8%	30
5	Ozzie Albies	36	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	173	0.156	87.0	4.5%	10.6%	390	12.9%	8.3%	8.1%	32
6	Mauricio Dubon	32	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	189	0.136	86.3	5.9%	8.6%	393	0.0%	0.0%	11.6%	32
7	Mike Yastrzemski	31	⚪ D	+950	🌧️ COOL	196	0.141	90.6	3.8%	10.6%	374	7.0%	0.0%	7.4%	19

Adrian Houser RHP

1.52 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.64 ·

8 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Matt Olson	73	🟡 B	+750	·	12	0.297	93.5	11.8%	32.6% vs RHP	409	24.3%	16.7%	31.6%	30
2	Drake Baldwin	65	🔵 C+	+750	·	27	0.238	92.8	13.4%	26.1% vs RHP	402	24.5%	0.0%	19.8%	0
3	Austin Riley	47	⚪ D	+850	·	103	0.168	90.8	10.0%	14.3% vs RHP	409	8.7%	0.0%	10.1%	24
4	Dominic Smith	44	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	132	0.148	88.8	8.4%	15.0% vs RHP	390	9.1%	11.1%	9.3%	30
5	Ozzie Albies	42	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	139	0.156	87.0	6.6%	12.8% vs RHP	390	12.9%	8.3%	9.5%	32
6	Mauricio Dubon	37	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	166	0.136	86.3	7.6%	15.2% vs RHP	393	0.0%	0.0%	14.0%	32
7	Mike Yastrzemski	37	⚪ D	+950	🌧️ COOL	170	0.141	90.6	6.1%	14.3% vs RHP	374	7.0%	0.0%	8.8%	19
8	Ha-Seong Kim	17	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	230	0.000	84.5	4.8%	0.0% vs RHP	0	0.0%	0.0%	8.2%	11

Grant Holmes RHP

1.64 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.86 ·

8 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Bryce Eldridge	65	🔵 C+	+900	🌧️ COOL	28	0.231	92.0	11.2%	19.1% vs RHP	385	20.0%	22.2%	25.6%	34
2	Casey Schmitt	63	🔵 C+	·	🌧️ COOL	31	0.232	89.2	11.1%	23.5% vs RHP	393	17.9%	16.7%	24.3%	42
3	Willy Adames	53	🟠 C	·	🌧️ COOL	77	0.192	89.0	9.5%	18.4% vs RHP	385	13.4%	9.1%	19.6%	27
4	Rafael Devers	52	🟠 C	·	·	79	0.176	91.9	9.8%	17.1% vs RHP	401	12.3%	16.7%	14.7%	31
5	Matt Chapman	49	⚪ D	·	🔥 HOT	84	0.166	88.3	8.4%	17.6% vs RHP	398	7.4%	25.0%	18.9%	32
6	Drew Gilbert ⚡	33	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	188	0.136	85.4	5.2%	16.7% vs RHP	393	3.4%	0.0%	8.7%	17
7	Jung Hoo Lee	32	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	192	0.123	87.6	4.8%	9.4% vs RHP	363	4.9%	0.0%	7.5%	43
8	Daniel Susac	28	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	209	0.077	85.8	6.6%	0.0% vs RHP	0	0.0%	0.0%	6.6%	21

JR Ritchie RHP 💥 Meltdown

1.19 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.48 ·

7 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Casey Schmitt	56	🟠 C	·	🌧️ COOL	62	0.232	89.2	7.6%	23.5% vs RHP	393	17.9%	16.7%	16.0%	42
2	Rafael Devers	48	⚪ D	·	·	94	0.176	91.9	6.7%	17.1% vs RHP	401	12.3%	16.7%	15.5%	31
3	Willy Adames	47	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	106	0.192	89.0	6.5%	18.4% vs RHP	385	13.4%	9.1%	12.9%	27
4	Matt Chapman	44	⚪ D	·	🔥 HOT	123	0.166	88.3	5.7%	17.6% vs RHP	398	7.4%	25.0%	12.4%	32
5	Drew Gilbert ⚡	31	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	195	0.136	85.4	3.6%	16.7% vs RHP	393	3.4%	0.0%	9.1%	17
6	Jung Hoo Lee	30	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	200	0.123	87.6	3.3%	9.4% vs RHP	363	4.9%	0.0%	7.9%	43
7	Luis Arraez ⚡	24	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	222	0.114	·	1.4%	1.6% vs RHP	·	0.0%	0.0%	6.9%	50

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Truist Park

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