CIN
@
8:10p
MIL
Stadium Conditions
American Family Field
First pitch 7:10p
· roof retractable
Park 1.12×
Wind 4 mph cross
79°F
retractable
-4
14 mph · cross
88°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
14 mph · cross
86°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
13 mph · cross
83°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
13 mph · cross
82°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
13 mph · cross
81°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.24
79°F, wind 4 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jake Bauers ⚡ | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 12 | 0.262 | 92.6 | 9.8% | 15.4% vs LHP | 401 | 20.3% | 18.2% | 28.4% | 22 |
| 2 |
|
Jackson Chourio | 66 | 🔵 C+ | +350 | 🌤️ WARM | 13 | 0.233 | 92.5 | 10.1% | 66.7% vs LHP | 397 | 20.5% | 23.1% | 42.2% | 40 |
| 3 |
|
Brice Turang | 55 | 🟠 C | +850 | · | 52 | 0.196 | 90.9 | 8.2% | 10.0% vs LHP | 407 | 11.2% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
William Contreras ⚡ | 53 | 🟠 C | +400 | 🔥 HOT | 56 | 0.154 | 90.3 | 7.6% | 10.0% vs LHP | 419 | 11.8% | 27.3% | 18.6% | 34 |
| 5 |
|
Garrett Mitchell | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 57 | 0.163 | 92.5 | 10.0% | 20.0% | 420 | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 21 |
| 6 |
|
Christian Yelich ⚡ | 47 | ⚪ D | +625 | · | 93 | 0.131 | 88.8 | 7.1% | 33.3% vs LHP | 399 | 6.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
David Hamilton | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 131 | 0.105 | 86.6 | 5.5% | 5.9% | 383 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 17 |
| 8 |
|
Sal Frelick | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 149 | 0.093 | 86.1 | 4.2% | 12.5% vs LHP | 402 | 3.0% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 32 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 58 | 🟠 C | +390 | · | 31 | 0.229 | 93.9 | 10.1% | 35.3% vs LHP | 395 | 15.9% | 14.3% | 19.8% | 21 |
| 2 |
|
Spencer Steer | 55 | 🟠 C | +500 | · | 48 | 0.188 | 89.4 | 9.8% | 28.6% vs LHP | 394 | 13.0% | 22.2% | 25.7% | 24 |
| 3 |
|
Sal Stewart | 55 | 🟠 C | +370 | · | 53 | 0.198 | 90.9 | 10.4% | 35.7% vs LHP | 393 | 11.6% | 16.7% | 19.8% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Jj Bleday | 52 | 🟠 C | +425 | ❄ COLD | 61 | 0.262 | 89.4 | 8.5% | 23.1% vs LHP | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.1% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 51 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 76 | 0.214 | 88.6 | 9.0% | 23.1% | 398 | 14.6% | 0.0% | 12.3% | 16 |
| 6 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 46 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 99 | 0.143 | 91.1 | 9.1% | 7.7% vs LHP | 384 | 7.6% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 19 |
| 7 |
|
Matt Mclain ⚡ | 44 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 105 | 0.151 | 89.1 | 8.3% | 26.7% vs LHP | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.0% | 13 |
| 8 |
|
Eugenio Suarez | 42 | ⚪ D | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 119 | 0.160 | 86.9 | 7.2% | 25.0% vs LHP | 384 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.7% | 20 |
| 9 |
|
Tj Friedl | 34 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 176 | 0.083 | 88.2 | 4.2% | 5.1% | 364 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 5 |