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MIN
@
8:10p
HOU
Stadium Conditions
Minute Maid Park
First pitch 7:10p
· roof retractable
Park 1.04×
Wind 3 mph in
80°F
retractable
-1
10 mph · cross
90°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
9 mph · cross
88°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
9 mph · cross
86°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
8 mph · cross
84°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
7 mph · cross
83°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.15
80°F, wind 3 mph S (in) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Byron Buxton | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 5 | 0.317 | 90.6 | 12.7% | 32.3% vs RHP | 402 | 32.4% | 20.0% | 23.6% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Kody Clemens | 58 | 🟠 C | +330 | · | 30 | 0.236 | 92.7 | 10.5% | 20.8% vs RHP | 388 | 16.3% | 18.2% | 20.7% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Brooks Lee | 51 | 🟠 C | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 72 | 0.197 | 87.9 | 6.2% | 23.4% vs RHP | 367 | 16.9% | 25.0% | 22.9% | 42 |
| 4 |
|
Royce Lewis | 51 | 🟠 C | +425 | 🌤️ WARM | 75 | 0.166 | 89.0 | 10.3% | 16.7% vs RHP | 394 | 17.8% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
Josh Bell | 48 | ⚪ D | +425 | · | 85 | 0.156 | 89.4 | 9.3% | 19.4% vs RHP | 403 | 9.8% | 20.0% | 12.8% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Victor Caratini | 43 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🔥 HOT | 108 | 0.149 | 89.5 | 8.5% | 18.5% vs RHP | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.1% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 43 | ⚪ D | +575 | · | 112 | 0.150 | 86.3 | 7.7% | 12.8% vs RHP | 406 | 5.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 38 |
| 8 |
|
Luke Keaschall ⚡ | 32 | ⚪ D | +950 | · | 186 | 0.080 | 84.6 | 5.1% | 4.8% vs RHP | 369 | 2.8% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 29 |
| 9 |
|
Austin Martin ⚡ | 32 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 187 | 0.076 | 86.8 | 4.5% | 4.2% vs RHP | 392 | 2.0% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 16 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 62 | 🔵 C+ | +220 | 🌤️ WARM | 22 | 0.294 | 94.4 | 13.6% | 25.0% vs RHP | 400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 26.9% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Walker | 58 | 🟠 C | +350 | ❄ COLD | 32 | 0.240 | 90.0 | 9.9% | 29.1% vs RHP | 390 | 20.5% | 8.3% | 17.0% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Cam Smith | 53 | 🟠 C | +525 | · | 59 | 0.163 | 89.6 | 11.2% | 16.7% vs RHP | 415 | 12.7% | 27.3% | 17.0% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 46 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 98 | 0.168 | 87.0 | 7.9% | 19.3% vs RHP | 370 | 11.0% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 47 |
| 5 |
|
Brice Matthews | 43 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 116 | 0.127 | 87.7 | 9.3% | 11.1% vs RHP | 410 | 9.8% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 12 |
| 6 |
|
Jake Meyers | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 133 | 0.116 | 86.1 | 8.2% | 10.5% vs RHP | 400 | 8.8% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Jose Altuve ⚡ | 39 | ⚪ D | +500 | ❄ COLD | 145 | 0.145 | 85.3 | 8.1% | 25.0% vs RHP | 376 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 38 |
| 8 |
|
Christian Vazquez | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 182 | 0.108 | 86.0 | 3.9% | 11.1% vs RHP | 373 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 14 |