2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Junior Caminero 6 HRs · 2 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 3 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 4 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 7 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 8 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 9 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 10 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 11 CJ Abrams 4 HRs · 12 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs 1 Junior Caminero 6 HRs · 2 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 3 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 4 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 7 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 8 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 9 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 10 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 11 CJ Abrams 4 HRs · 12 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs
TB
@ 7:40p
KC
Kauffman Stadium · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Kauffman Stadium

First pitch 6:40p · roof open
Park 1.02× Wind 11 mph slight_out 77°F open
+7
13 mph · slight_out
88°F
6:40p
Boost for HR environment
+6
12 mph · slight_out
86°F
7:40p
Boost for HR environment
+6
12 mph · slight_out
85°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
11 mph · slight_out
83°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
10 mph · slight_out
81°F
10:40p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.12

77°F, wind 11 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo RHP
1.06 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.30 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 68 🔵 C+ +210 🌤️ WARM 10 0.248 93.4 11.6% 39.6% vs RHP 405 25.3% 50.0% 35.1% 38
2 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 52 🟠 C +370 🌧️ COOL 68 0.184 90.7 10.2% 22.4% vs RHP 391 14.3% 16.7% 11.8% 38
3 Yandy Diaz Yandy Diaz 43 ⚪ D +425 🌤️ WARM 109 0.174 90.9 8.8% 24.2% vs RHP 385 0.0% 0.0% 12.8% 34
4 Cedric Mullins Cedric Mullins 42 ⚪ D +500 🌤️ WARM 121 0.121 88.3 6.5% 17.4% vs RHP 394 11.1% 25.0% 12.1% 25
5 Ben Williamson Ben Williamson 35 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 167 0.104 88.1 3.9% 12.5% vs RHP 398 3.4% 20.0% 10.5% 16
6 Richie Palacios Richie Palacios 32 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 188 0.074 86.2 5.5% 4.5% vs RHP 382 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 26
7 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 32 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 189 0.070 84.5 6.0% 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 5.6% 28
8 Nick Fortes Nick Fortes 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 194 0.068 86.0 3.5% 6.2% vs RHP 408 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 19
9 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 20 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 198 0.060 84.1 · 4.3% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 40
Shane McClanahan
Shane McClanahan LHP
0.70 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.36 ·
6 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jac Caglianone Jac Caglianone 60 🔵 C+ +320 🔥 HOT 24 0.212 94.0 12.7% 35.7% vs LHP 418 13.5% 36.4% 30.0% 30
2 Carter Jensen Carter Jensen 51 🟠 C +475 · 77 0.184 91.0 8.9% 8.3% vs LHP 385 15.9% 33.3% 18.8% 40
3 Michael Massey Michael Massey 45 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 103 0.182 90.5 8.3% 16.7% vs LHP 398 7.8% 9.1% 12.5% 37
4 Salvador Perez Salvador Perez 39 ⚪ D +425 🌤️ WARM 146 0.147 88.8 9.4% 15.4% vs LHP 394 0.0% 0.0% 8.4% 37
5 Lane Thomas Lane Thomas 38 ⚪ D +575 🌤️ WARM 154 0.115 87.5 6.4% 5.9% vs LHP 413 12.8% 9.1% 6.4% 35
6 Isaac Collins Isaac Collins 34 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 181 0.091 88.6 7.4% 6.7% vs LHP 377 4.2% 0.0% 6.5% 34
🏟️
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