2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Junior Caminero 6 HRs · 2 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 3 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 4 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 7 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 8 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 9 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 10 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 11 CJ Abrams 4 HRs · 12 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs 1 Junior Caminero 6 HRs · 2 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 3 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 4 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 7 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 8 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 9 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 10 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 11 CJ Abrams 4 HRs · 12 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs
STL
@ 7:15p
ATL
Truist Park · 14 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Truist Park

First pitch 7:15p · roof open
Park 0.93× Wind 3 mph cross 76°F open
+6
6 mph · out
89°F
7:15p
Boost for HR environment
+5
6 mph · out
86°F
8:15p
Boost for HR environment
+1
6 mph · slight_out
82°F
9:15p
Neutral for HR environment
-5
6 mph · cross
79°F
10:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
5 mph · in
76°F
11:15p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.93

76°F, wind 3 mph E (cross) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Michael McGreevy
Michael McGreevy RHP
1.26 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.42 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Olson Matt Olson 56 🟠 C +305 ❄ COLD 40 0.266 92.8 10.9% 29.8% vs RHP 409 20.5% 0.0% 17.1% 31
2 Drake Baldwin Drake Baldwin 52 🟠 C +390 ❄ COLD 66 0.207 91.5 12.3% 29.2% vs RHP 407 19.4% 0.0% 14.4% 24
3 Austin Riley Austin Riley 41 ⚪ D +475 🌧️ COOL 130 0.150 90.9 9.4% 13.5% vs RHP 409 7.3% 0.0% 8.6% 27
4 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 38 ⚪ D +525 🌧️ COOL 148 0.157 87.1 5.9% 10.9% vs RHP 383 12.0% 7.7% 8.7% 42
5 Mike Yastrzemski Mike Yastrzemski 38 ⚪ D +525 🌤️ WARM 155 0.140 90.7 6.1% 15.4% vs RHP 374 7.7% 11.1% 10.5% 16
6 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 37 ⚪ D +625 ❄ COLD 159 0.135 87.9 7.9% 14.3% vs RHP 390 7.8% 0.0% 7.9% 18
7 Mauricio Dubon Mauricio Dubon 34 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 173 0.149 86.6 6.9% 13.9% vs RHP 392 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 42
Reynaldo López
Reynaldo López RHP
1.25 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.17 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 52 🟠 C +330 ❄ COLD 64 0.231 93.7 9.3% 30.2% vs RHP 408 17.1% 0.0% 16.7% 26
2 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 47 ⚪ D +370 🌧️ COOL 92 0.195 91.9 8.5% 22.2% vs RHP 405 16.7% 0.0% 11.5% 32
3 Nathan Church Nathan Church 38 ⚪ D +700 🌤️ WARM 156 0.134 86.2 7.5% 21.7% vs RHP 387 7.8% 11.1% 7.9% 22
4 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 37 ⚪ D +525 ❄ COLD 157 0.161 89.5 6.6% 18.8% vs RHP 406 0.0% 0.0% 10.3% 29
5 Jj Wetherholt Jj Wetherholt 36 ⚪ D +475 ❄ COLD 162 0.143 90.2 6.7% 18.9% vs RHP 389 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 40
6 Pedro Pages Pedro Pages 34 ⚪ D +700 🌧️ COOL 175 0.131 87.0 6.1% 20.0% vs RHP 403 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 8
7 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 30 ⚪ D +750 · 192 0.087 87.5 4.6% 11.5% vs RHP 389 3.9% 9.1% 7.6% 34
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