PIT
@
6:40p
PHI
Stadium Conditions
Citizens Bank Park
First pitch 6:40p
· roof open
Park 1.18×
Wind 5 mph out
73°F
open
+15
7 mph · out
90°F
6:40p
Strong boost for HR environment
+14
7 mph · out
89°F
7:40p
Boost for HR environment
+13
7 mph · out
88°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+13
7 mph · out
86°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+14
8 mph · out
83°F
10:40p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.18
73°F, wind 5 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 73 | 🟡 B | +1000 | · | 1 | 0.333 | 93.4 | 11.2% | 47.6% vs RHP | 404 | 26.9% | 25.0% | 40.7% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper | 65 | 🔵 C+ | +290 | · | 14 | 0.258 | 90.4 | 8.9% | 42.1% vs RHP | 400 | 22.2% | 38.5% | 39.0% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 55 | 🟠 C | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 45 | 0.202 | 90.0 | 7.6% | 25.0% vs RHP | 395 | 14.1% | 30.8% | 27.5% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Bryson Stott | 44 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 106 | 0.152 | 89.2 | 6.6% | 11.1% vs RHP | 393 | 9.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Trea Turner | 41 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌤️ WARM | 134 | 0.109 | 88.8 | 5.8% | 13.3% vs RHP | 397 | 11.2% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 42 |
| 6 |
|
Alec Bohm | 40 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 138 | 0.129 | 89.8 | 5.2% | 16.7% vs RHP | 385 | 10.3% | 0.0% | 10.4% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
J.T. Realmuto | 35 | ⚪ D | +700 | · | 165 | 0.117 | · | 5.6% | 17.9% vs RHP | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.6% | 29 |
| 8 |
|
Justin Crawford | 32 | ⚪ D | +850 | ❄ COLD | 185 | 0.093 | 87.0 | 2.6% | 6.9% vs RHP | 382 | 3.4% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 31 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 63 | 🔵 C+ | +290 | 🌤️ WARM | 19 | 0.258 | 90.9 | 9.5% | 25.8% vs RHP | 392 | 18.1% | 18.2% | 25.0% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 53 | 🟠 C | +500 | · | 58 | 0.184 | 89.5 | 6.7% | 22.2% vs RHP | 382 | 16.7% | 18.2% | 25.0% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 52 | 🟠 C | +390 | · | 65 | 0.186 | 91.4 | 8.3% | 16.2% vs RHP | 410 | 12.7% | 8.3% | 14.7% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 47 | ⚪ D | +575 | · | 90 | 0.140 | 87.7 | 7.5% | 22.2% vs RHP | 401 | 7.1% | 25.0% | 16.7% | 13 |
| 5 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 91 | 0.120 | 89.7 | 7.8% | 14.3% vs RHP | 413 | 9.0% | 25.0% | 15.4% | 12 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 168 | 0.076 | 85.8 | 4.5% | 9.4% vs RHP | 403 | 3.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Jake Mangum | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 184 | 0.056 | 83.8 | 3.0% | 7.1% vs RHP | 410 | 2.4% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 31 |