2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Junior Caminero 6 HRs · 2 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 3 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 4 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 7 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 8 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 9 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 10 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 11 CJ Abrams 4 HRs · 12 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs 1 Junior Caminero 6 HRs · 2 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 3 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 4 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 7 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 8 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 9 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 10 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 11 CJ Abrams 4 HRs · 12 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs
PIT
@ 6:40p
PHI
Citizens Bank Park · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Citizens Bank Park

First pitch 6:40p · roof open
Park 1.18× Wind 5 mph out 73°F open
+15
7 mph · out
90°F
6:40p
Strong boost for HR environment
+14
7 mph · out
89°F
7:40p
Boost for HR environment
+13
7 mph · out
88°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+13
7 mph · out
86°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+14
8 mph · out
83°F
10:40p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.18

73°F, wind 5 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Paul Skenes
Paul Skenes RHP
0.84 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.03 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 73 🟡 B +1000 · 1 0.333 93.4 11.2% 47.6% vs RHP 404 26.9% 25.0% 40.7% 28
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 65 🔵 C+ +290 · 14 0.258 90.4 8.9% 42.1% vs RHP 400 22.2% 38.5% 39.0% 39
3 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 55 🟠 C +500 🌤️ WARM 45 0.202 90.0 7.6% 25.0% vs RHP 395 14.1% 30.8% 27.5% 35
4 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 44 ⚪ D +475 🌧️ COOL 106 0.152 89.2 6.6% 11.1% vs RHP 393 9.2% 7.7% 10.3% 38
5 Trea Turner Trea Turner 41 ⚪ D +625 🌤️ WARM 134 0.109 88.8 5.8% 13.3% vs RHP 397 11.2% 15.4% 10.0% 42
6 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 40 ⚪ D +700 🌧️ COOL 138 0.129 89.8 5.2% 16.7% vs RHP 385 10.3% 0.0% 10.4% 39
7 J.T. Realmuto J.T. Realmuto 35 ⚪ D +700 · 165 0.117 · 5.6% 17.9% vs RHP · 0.0% 0.0% 10.6% 29
8 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 32 ⚪ D +850 ❄ COLD 185 0.093 87.0 2.6% 6.9% vs RHP 382 3.4% 0.0% 8.3% 31
Zack Wheeler
Zack Wheeler RHP
0.97 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.06 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 63 🔵 C+ +290 🌤️ WARM 19 0.258 90.9 9.5% 25.8% vs RHP 392 18.1% 18.2% 25.0% 35
2 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 53 🟠 C +500 · 58 0.184 89.5 6.7% 22.2% vs RHP 382 16.7% 18.2% 25.0% 38
3 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 52 🟠 C +390 · 65 0.186 91.4 8.3% 16.2% vs RHP 410 12.7% 8.3% 14.7% 31
4 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 47 ⚪ D +575 · 90 0.140 87.7 7.5% 22.2% vs RHP 401 7.1% 25.0% 16.7% 13
5 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 47 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 91 0.120 89.7 7.8% 14.3% vs RHP 413 9.0% 25.0% 15.4% 12
6 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 35 ⚪ D · · 168 0.076 85.8 4.5% 9.4% vs RHP 403 3.9% 9.1% 8.5% 29
7 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 184 0.056 83.8 3.0% 7.1% vs RHP 410 2.4% 0.0% 9.0% 31
🏟️
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