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TB
@
8:15p
HOU
Stadium Conditions
Minute Maid Park
First pitch 7:15p
· roof retractable
Park 1.02×
Wind 4 mph in
79°F
retractable
-2
10 mph · cross
90°F
7:15p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
9 mph · cross
87°F
8:15p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
9 mph · cross
85°F
9:15p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
8 mph · cross
82°F
10:15p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
8 mph · in
81°F
11:15p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.13
79°F, wind 4 mph S (in) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Junior Caminero | 68 | 🔵 C+ | +255 | 🔥 HOT | 5 | 0.259 | 93.5 | 10.0% | 40.8% vs RHP | 407 | 25.9% | 53.8% | 32.7% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Jonathan Aranda | 51 | 🟠 C | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 59 | 0.181 | 90.8 | 8.5% | 22.4% vs RHP | 391 | 13.9% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Cedric Mullins | 46 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 86 | 0.131 | 88.4 | 5.5% | 19.1% vs RHP | 394 | 13.8% | 44.4% | 15.4% | 23 |
| 4 |
|
Yandy Diaz | 42 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 103 | 0.170 | 91.2 | 7.3% | 22.9% vs RHP | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.4% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Ben Williamson | 36 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 150 | 0.102 | 88.2 | 3.2% | 12.5% vs RHP | 398 | 3.4% | 20.0% | 10.4% | 15 |
| 6 |
|
Richie Palacios ⚡ | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 177 | 0.073 | 86.3 | 4.6% | 4.3% vs RHP | 382 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Taylor Walls | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 178 | 0.072 | 85.0 | 5.0% | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 27 |
| 8 |
|
Nick Fortes | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 183 | 0.066 | 86.1 | 3.0% | 5.9% vs RHP | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 21 |
| 9 |
|
Chandler Simpson ⚡ | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 195 | 0.062 | 84.3 | · | 4.2% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 40 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 59 | 🟠 C | +225 | · | 19 | 0.296 | 94.6 | 11.6% | 25.0% vs RHP | 399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22.8% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Walker | 55 | 🟠 C | +305 | ❄ COLD | 41 | 0.237 | 89.9 | 8.4% | 28.6% vs RHP | 390 | 20.2% | 8.3% | 17.8% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Cam Smith | 51 | 🟠 C | +425 | · | 58 | 0.163 | 89.6 | 9.4% | 20.5% vs RHP | 415 | 12.5% | 27.3% | 18.9% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 43 | ⚪ D | +390 | 🌧️ COOL | 99 | 0.163 | 86.9 | 6.6% | 18.3% vs RHP | 370 | 10.8% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 46 |
| 5 |
|
Brice Matthews | 41 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 113 | 0.126 | 87.5 | 7.8% | 10.5% vs RHP | 410 | 9.8% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 14 |
| 6 |
|
Yainer Diaz | 38 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 135 | 0.118 | 87.5 | 5.5% | 14.3% vs RHP | 383 | 5.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Jose Altuve ⚡ | 37 | ⚪ D | +525 | ❄ COLD | 139 | 0.142 | 85.4 | 6.7% | 22.6% vs RHP | 376 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 38 |
| 8 |
|
Christian Vazquez | 32 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 172 | 0.108 | 86.0 | 3.3% | 11.1% vs RHP | 373 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 12 |