BOS
@
9:38p
LAA
Stadium Conditions
Angel Stadium
First pitch 6:38p
· roof open
Park 0.96×
Wind 3 mph in
61°F
open
-11
11 mph · in
76°F
6:38p
Suppress for HR environment
-11
10 mph · in
73°F
7:38p
Suppress for HR environment
-10
9 mph · in
71°F
8:38p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
7 mph · in
69°F
9:38p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
6 mph · in
68°F
10:38p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.86
61°F, wind 3 mph SSW (in) — modifier: -1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Zach Neto | 53 | 🟠 C | +390 | · | 51 | 0.224 | 89.8 | 9.1% | 18.2% vs LHP | 402 | 19.8% | 27.3% | 22.1% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Jorge Soler | 48 | ⚪ D | +425 | 🌤️ WARM | 68 | 0.209 | 88.1 | 8.3% | 16.7% vs LHP | 398 | 15.4% | 25.0% | 20.3% | 14 |
| 3 |
|
Josh Lowe | 39 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🔥 HOT | 125 | 0.142 | 89.7 | 7.4% | 12.8% | 388 | 10.2% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 14 |
| 4 |
|
Jo Adell ⚡ | 38 | ⚪ D | +400 | 🌧️ COOL | 132 | 0.144 | 90.2 | 7.1% | 26.1% vs LHP | 412 | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Oswald Peraza ⚡ | 37 | ⚪ D | +625 | · | 143 | 0.147 | 87.4 | 7.1% | 29.4% vs LHP | 386 | 8.1% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 15 |
| 6 |
|
Vaughn Grissom | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 161 | 0.138 | 89.5 | 6.3% | 0.0% vs LHP | 396 | 8.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 13 |
| 7 |
|
Logan O'Hoppe | 35 | ⚪ D | +625 | ❄ COLD | 162 | 0.110 | 86.5 | 8.0% | 0.0% vs LHP | 408 | 4.3% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 21 |
| 8 |
|
Nolan Schanuel ⚡ | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 176 | 0.122 | 87.3 | 3.8% | 20.0% vs LHP | 372 | 8.6% | 16.7% | 7.5% | 39 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 52 | 🟠 C | +320 | 🌤️ WARM | 55 | 0.235 | 90.4 | 9.7% | 27.8% vs LHP | 404 | 19.8% | 15.4% | 19.4% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 42 | ⚪ D | +425 | · | 105 | 0.165 | 89.8 | 8.7% | 9.5% vs LHP | 402 | 12.3% | 16.7% | 9.6% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Jarren Duran | 39 | ⚪ D | +525 | ❄ COLD | 130 | 0.152 | 89.5 | 8.4% | 9.1% vs LHP | 396 | 13.9% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 25 |
| 4 |
|
Caleb Durbin ⚡ | 35 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 153 | 0.151 | 84.7 | 4.4% | 7.7% vs LHP | 375 | 7.8% | 23.1% | 12.8% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 35 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 154 | 0.163 | 86.2 | 5.8% | 11.1% vs LHP | 370 | 8.8% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 41 |
| 6 |
|
Masataka Yoshida | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 181 | 0.112 | 88.6 | 3.8% | 4.9% | 390 | 6.7% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 17 |
| 7 |
|
Carlos Narvaez | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 182 | 0.082 | 91.4 | 7.1% | 0.0% vs LHP | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 12 |