CIN
@
1:35p
PIT
Stadium Conditions
PNC Park
First pitch 1:35p
· roof open
Park 0.77×
Wind 1 mph slight_out
68°F
open
-8
2 mph · in
78°F
1:35p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
2 mph · in
79°F
2:35p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
2 mph · in
80°F
3:35p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
2 mph · cross
81°F
4:35p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
3 mph · cross
80°F
5:35p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.77
68°F, wind 1 mph NE (slight_out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 64 | 🔵 C+ | +330 | · | 32 | 0.257 | 90.6 | 11.1% | 25.4% vs RHP | 391 | 18.6% | 25.0% | 17.1% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 54 | 🟠 C | +425 | 🔥 HOT | 61 | 0.189 | 91.4 | 10.3% | 16.2% vs RHP | 410 | 13.2% | 25.0% | 17.3% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 47 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🔥 HOT | 99 | 0.142 | 87.5 | 9.4% | 22.2% vs RHP | 401 | 7.7% | 100.0% | 10.7% | 4 |
| 4 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 45 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 109 | 0.171 | 89.6 | 7.7% | 19.5% vs RHP | 378 | 15.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 44 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🔥 HOT | 117 | 0.122 | 89.6 | 9.5% | 14.8% vs RHP | 413 | 9.2% | 25.0% | 12.2% | 10 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 27 | ⚪ D | +850 | · | 208 | 0.078 | 85.8 | 5.5% | 9.7% vs RHP | 403 | 4.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 32 |
| 7 |
|
Jake Mangum | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 219 | 0.054 | 83.6 | 3.8% | 7.7% vs RHP | 410 | 2.6% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 34 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Spencer Steer | 50 | 🟠 C | +625 | 🌤️ WARM | 79 | 0.195 | 89.5 | 9.0% | 17.8% vs RHP | 394 | 13.3% | 33.3% | 14.4% | 21 |
| 2 |
|
Jj Bleday | 49 | ⚪ D | +390 | ❄ COLD | 81 | 0.275 | 89.7 | 7.9% | 31.2% vs RHP | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 24.0% | 22 |
| 3 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 49 | ⚪ D | +425 | 🌤️ WARM | 84 | 0.228 | 94.4 | 9.1% | 17.9% vs RHP | 394 | 15.0% | 0.0% | 11.5% | 8 |
| 4 |
|
Sal Stewart | 46 | ⚪ D | +400 | · | 105 | 0.193 | 90.7 | 9.3% | 18.0% vs RHP | 395 | 10.6% | 16.7% | 8.5% | 30 |
| 5 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe ⚡ | 45 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 107 | 0.218 | 88.8 | 8.2% | 31.0% vs RHP | 398 | 14.9% | 0.0% | 12.7% | 16 |
| 6 |
|
Tyler Stephenson ⚡ | 37 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 156 | 0.138 | 90.8 | 8.1% | 16.2% vs RHP | 384 | 7.8% | 14.3% | 6.7% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Matt Mclain | 32 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 180 | 0.153 | 89.0 | 7.6% | 10.2% vs RHP | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 13 |
| 8 |
|
Eugenio Suarez | 31 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 186 | 0.150 | 86.9 | 6.6% | 22.7% vs RHP | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.8% | 20 |