WSH
@
1:35p
BAL
Stadium Conditions
Camden Yards
First pitch 1:35p
· roof open
Park 1.25×
Wind 5 mph cross
72°F
open
+7
2 mph · cross
80°F
1:35p
Boost for HR environment
+7
2 mph · in
81°F
2:35p
Boost for HR environment
+7
2 mph · in
83°F
3:35p
Boost for HR environment
+7
2 mph · in
84°F
4:35p
Boost for HR environment
+7
2 mph · in
84°F
5:35p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.25
72°F, wind 5 mph NNE (cross) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Alonso | 74 | 🟡 B | +290 | ❄ COLD | 6 | 0.217 | 94.2 | 11.7% | 30.0% vs RHP | 397 | 19.5% | 16.7% | 32.9% | 22 |
| 2 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 69 | 🔵 C+ | +305 | ❄ COLD | 15 | 0.202 | 91.3 | 11.6% | 26.8% vs RHP | 401 | 13.8% | 9.1% | 30.1% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 67 | 🔵 C+ | +290 | 🌤️ WARM | 20 | 0.201 | 89.5 | 9.7% | 17.9% vs RHP | 388 | 18.8% | 16.7% | 21.0% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Coby Mayo | 64 | 🔵 C+ | +350 | 🌤️ WARM | 31 | 0.184 | 91.9 | 10.5% | 12.0% vs RHP | 403 | 14.9% | 10.0% | 18.0% | 15 |
| 5 |
|
Colton Cowser | 63 | 🔵 C+ | +390 | ❄ COLD | 35 | 0.166 | 85.9 | 11.5% | 24.2% vs RHP | 417 | 17.9% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 51 | 0.160 | 89.3 | 8.9% | 21.2% vs RHP | 391 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Taylor Ward | 48 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 91 | 0.105 | 89.5 | 7.7% | 6.5% vs RHP | 393 | 6.0% | 16.7% | 9.5% | 37 |
| 8 |
|
Leody Taveras | 44 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 120 | 0.127 | 87.3 | 6.9% | 9.4% vs RHP | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 25 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Curtis Mead | 74 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 7 | 0.246 | 88.4 | 10.1% | 27.6% vs RHP | 400 | 23.3% | 40.0% | 40.9% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
James Wood | 74 | 🟡 B | +290 | 🌧️ COOL | 8 | 0.240 | 95.3 | 14.2% | 34.1% vs RHP | 408 | 24.6% | 7.7% | 23.9% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Cj Abrams | 65 | 🔵 C+ | +475 | · | 26 | 0.230 | 90.0 | 9.4% | 28.6% vs RHP | 389 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 36.7% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Keibert Ruiz | 53 | 🟠 C | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 66 | 0.185 | 89.2 | 6.9% | 10.8% vs RHP | 378 | 13.8% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
Jacob Young | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 96 | 0.147 | 89.2 | 7.6% | 20.6% vs RHP | 391 | 8.9% | 0.0% | 13.5% | 25 |
| 6 |
|
Daylen Lile | 47 | ⚪ D | +750 | ❄ COLD | 98 | 0.153 | 87.3 | 7.8% | 11.4% vs RHP | 403 | 7.9% | 0.0% | 11.7% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
Nasim Nunez | 20 | ⚪ D | · | · | 218 | 0.041 | 84.8 | · | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 25 |