2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Mookie Betts 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs · 10 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Mookie Betts 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs · 10 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
TEX
@ 1:37p
TOR
Rogers Centre · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Rogers Centre

First pitch 1:37p · roof unknown
Park 1.15× Wind 0 mph dome unknown
Hourly forecast unavailable; showing current stadium conditions only.
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.15

Dome — weather irrelevant. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Kumar Rocker
Kumar Rocker RHP
0.98 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.12 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kazuma Okamoto Kazuma Okamoto 72 🟡 B +330 · 10 0.229 92.2 10.6% 32.6% vs RHP 400 20.3% 30.8% 31.3% 27
2 Daulton Varsho Daulton Varsho 54 🟠 C +500 🌤️ WARM 59 0.167 86.0 7.4% 16.2% vs RHP 386 9.3% 28.6% 22.0% 14
3 Brandon Valenzuela Brandon Valenzuela 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 64 0.183 89.5 8.0% 22.7% vs RHP 397 12.5% 0.0% 15.5% 9
4 George Springer George Springer 51 🟠 C · · 75 0.161 88.1 7.6% 20.6% vs RHP 392 9.7% 16.7% 12.9% 36
5 Andres Gimenez Andres Gimenez 40 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 138 0.142 86.4 5.4% 13.2% vs RHP 391 0.0% 0.0% 10.7% 26
6 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 40 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 144 0.138 85.4 4.5% 8.0% vs RHP 374 9.2% 0.0% 8.3% 27
7 Nathan Lukes Nathan Lukes 37 ⚪ D +750 ❄ COLD 154 0.111 86.2 2.5% 13.6% vs RHP 369 4.8% 18.2% 12.9% 31
TOR Bullpen Proxy
1.13 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.00 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Joc Pederson Joc Pederson 72 🟡 B +390 🌤️ WARM 11 0.225 92.0 10.9% 22.0% 391 17.5% 36.4% 29.5% 29
2 Corey Seager Corey Seager 72 🟡 B +350 ❄ COLD 12 0.185 90.9 14.8% 20.0% 394 18.4% 50.0% 17.6% 3
3 Wyatt Langford Wyatt Langford 65 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 28 0.212 88.7 8.0% 14.8% 400 15.4% 54.5% 25.4% 40
4 Jake Burger Jake Burger 63 🔵 C+ +400 · 34 0.199 90.3 10.1% 20.8% 396 14.9% 16.7% 23.7% 26
5 Brandon Nimmo Brandon Nimmo 58 🟠 C +390 🔥 HOT 46 0.165 92.6 12.9% 11.1% 411 9.2% 7.7% 11.1% 40
6 Kyle Higashioka Kyle Higashioka 51 🟠 C +500 🌧️ COOL 76 0.147 88.3 9.5% 14.3% 397 9.1% 12.5% 12.3% 17
7 Ezequiel Duran Ezequiel Duran 47 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 97 0.151 88.9 5.4% 11.1% 377 10.0% 18.2% 12.9% 32
8 Josh Jung Josh Jung 43 ⚪ D +525 🌤️ WARM 125 0.136 90.3 5.4% 13.1% 387 10.7% 0.0% 9.4% 32
🏟️
Six home runs to freedom

Unlock the full game board

See every batter in this game, both pitcher groups, all HR profile signals, and the matchup context that drives the slate.

12 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.3.24 · build 525

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.