2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Mookie Betts 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs · 10 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Mookie Betts 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs · 10 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
AZ
@ 1:40p
TB
Tropicana Field · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Tropicana Field

First pitch 1:40p · roof unknown
Park 0.96× Wind 0 mph dome unknown
Hourly forecast unavailable; showing current stadium conditions only.
⚪ Neutral · Combined 0.96

Dome — weather irrelevant — mild park boost, weather flat.

Merrill Kelly
Merrill Kelly RHP 💥 Meltdown
2.01 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +1.04 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 75 🟡 B +245 🌤️ WARM 4 0.234 93.3 13.8% 37.8% vs RHP 405 23.4% 38.5% 31.2% 35
2 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 58 🟠 C +350 🌧️ COOL 47 0.178 90.7 12.3% 21.1% vs RHP 391 14.7% 15.4% 12.5% 38
3 Yandy Diaz Yandy Diaz 49 ⚪ D +425 🌧️ COOL 82 0.177 90.6 10.6% 24.2% vs RHP 385 0.0% 0.0% 12.3% 34
4 Cedric Mullins Cedric Mullins 40 ⚪ D +475 🌧️ COOL 143 0.112 88.1 7.4% 15.9% vs RHP 393 9.7% 10.0% 8.6% 24
5 Ben Williamson Ben Williamson 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 183 0.090 88.3 4.7% 0.0% vs RHP 394 1.8% 16.7% 6.3% 21
6 Richie Palacios Richie Palacios 30 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 195 0.075 86.4 6.8% 4.5% vs RHP 382 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 26
7 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 29 ⚪ D +850 🔥 HOT 203 0.071 84.3 6.5% 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 23
8 Nick Fortes Nick Fortes 26 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 210 0.070 86.0 4.4% 6.2% vs RHP 408 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 19
9 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 18 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 220 0.059 84.1 · 4.5% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 36
Drew Rasmussen
Drew Rasmussen RHP 💥 Meltdown
0.95 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.20 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 55 🟠 C +390 🌧️ COOL 56 0.255 91.6 9.1% 24.4% vs RHP 406 16.1% 7.7% 18.1% 34
2 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 48 ⚪ D +390 🌤️ WARM 93 0.192 91.3 8.3% 13.7% vs RHP 413 14.1% 23.1% 12.4% 41
3 Gabriel Moreno Gabriel Moreno 44 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 118 0.194 90.1 7.8% 17.1% vs RHP 395 10.5% 8.3% 11.1% 29
4 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 34 ⚪ D +575 · 169 0.155 85.2 6.5% 15.4% vs RHP 400 9.3% 0.0% 8.6% 35
5 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 33 ⚪ D · · 175 0.159 86.8 5.1% 11.1% vs RHP 399 7.0% 0.0% 9.9% 23
6 Adrian Del Castillo Adrian Del Castillo 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 189 0.117 89.3 6.5% 16.7% vs RHP 396 7.7% 0.0% 8.8% 11
7 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 29 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 199 0.112 86.9 4.4% 10.3% vs RHP 388 6.0% 15.4% 10.2% 32
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