HOU
@
1:40p
DET
Stadium Conditions
Comerica Park
First pitch 1:40p
· roof open
Park 0.98×
Wind 3 mph cross
63°F
open
-5
8 mph · cross
77°F
1:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
8 mph · in
79°F
2:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
7 mph · in
82°F
3:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
7 mph · in
84°F
4:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
7 mph · in
84°F
5:40p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Neutral · Combined 0.98
63°F, wind 3 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +0 — mild park boost, weather flat.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 62 | 🔵 C+ | +290 | · | 36 | 0.300 | 94.3 | 13.2% | 25.4% vs RHP | 400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.1% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Walker | 55 | 🟠 C | +330 | ❄ COLD | 55 | 0.234 | 89.9 | 9.8% | 27.8% vs RHP | 390 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Cam Smith | 44 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 122 | 0.137 | 89.4 | 10.4% | 16.7% vs RHP | 418 | 11.7% | 16.7% | 8.6% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 40 | ⚪ D | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 139 | 0.161 | 87.0 | 7.6% | 18.5% vs RHP | 367 | 10.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 34 |
| 5 |
|
Jeremy Peña | 40 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 141 | 0.156 | 87.1 | 6.3% | 16.1% vs RHP | 388 | 8.3% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Brice Matthews | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 149 | 0.131 | 88.3 | 9.2% | 11.1% vs RHP | 410 | 9.8% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 13 |
| 7 |
|
Jose Altuve | 36 | ⚪ D | +525 | · | 160 | 0.151 | 85.7 | 8.0% | 25.0% vs RHP | 376 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.2% | 32 |
| 8 |
|
Christian Vazquez | 25 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 213 | 0.113 | 85.8 | 3.8% | 11.1% vs RHP | 373 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 10 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +475 | · | 42 | 0.296 | 90.6 | 7.2% | 32.7% vs RHP | 397 | 22.1% | 25.0% | 27.1% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 51 | 🟠 C | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 77 | 0.235 | 90.9 | 6.4% | 25.0% vs RHP | 377 | 17.5% | 27.3% | 20.4% | 19 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Torkelson | 41 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 131 | 0.188 | 90.1 | 7.3% | 22.0% vs RHP | 394 | 14.8% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 24 |
| 4 |
|
Riley Greene | 35 | ⚪ D | +475 | · | 164 | 0.149 | 91.7 | 7.1% | 13.0% vs RHP | 393 | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 30 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Vierling | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 187 | 0.138 | 87.2 | 4.9% | 9.7% vs RHP | 377 | 9.1% | 14.3% | 6.9% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Colt Keith | 30 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 191 | 0.124 | 88.6 | 5.5% | 11.1% vs RHP | 372 | 4.3% | 20.0% | 9.6% | 24 |
| 7 |
|
Kevin Mcgonigle | 27 | ⚪ D | +575 | · | 206 | 0.137 | 88.0 | 5.7% | 6.3% vs RHP | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 34 |
| 8 |
|
Zach Mckinstry | 16 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 222 | 0.081 | 84.9 | 3.0% | 5.6% vs RHP | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 22 |