2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Mookie Betts 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs · 10 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Mookie Betts 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs · 10 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
PHI
@ 1:40p
NYM
Citi Field · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Citi Field

First pitch 1:40p · roof open
Park 1.01× Wind 3 mph cross 69°F open
-1
5 mph · cross
77°F
1:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
6 mph · cross
78°F
2:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
7 mph · slight_out
77°F
3:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
7 mph · slight_out
77°F
4:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
76°F
5:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.01

69°F, wind 3 mph N (cross) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Cionel Pérez
Cionel Pérez LHP
1.39 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.81 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 83 🟢 A +265 · 1 0.336 93.3 15.8% 44.0% vs LHP 404 26.7% 25.0% 41.1% 25
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 75 🟡 B +400 · 5 0.247 90.3 12.2% 11.5% vs LHP 401 21.8% 30.8% 28.4% 37
3 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 60 🔵 C+ +850 🌤️ WARM 43 0.187 90.0 10.2% 13.3% vs LHP 394 13.3% 30.8% 22.9% 33
4 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 48 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 86 0.158 89.4 9.5% 12.5% vs LHP 393 9.6% 7.7% 11.3% 36
5 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 42 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 130 0.128 89.6 7.4% 14.3% vs LHP 385 10.7% 9.1% 8.6% 38
6 Trea Turner Trea Turner 38 ⚪ D +700 · 151 0.104 88.7 7.6% 3.9% vs LHP 394 9.1% 0.0% 7.3% 34
7 J.T. Realmuto J.T. Realmuto 37 ⚪ D +700 🌤️ WARM 153 0.122 · 7.9% 0.0% vs LHP · 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 28
8 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 200 0.098 86.7 3.6% 5.3% 382 3.6% 0.0% 8.4% 25
Jesús Luzardo
Jesús Luzardo LHP
0.94 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.26 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Juan Soto Juan Soto 61 🔵 C+ +425 🌧️ COOL 38 0.256 93.3 9.4% 16.0% vs LHP 399 19.4% 7.7% 27.6% 28
2 Mark Vientos Mark Vientos 52 🟠 C +475 · 67 0.184 89.3 7.8% 23.8% vs LHP 410 13.1% 33.3% 22.2% 17
3 Francisco Alvarez Francisco Alvarez 45 ⚪ D +425 · 106 0.174 90.5 10.1% 25.0% vs LHP 407 0.0% 0.0% 21.3% 27
4 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 41 ⚪ D +525 🌧️ COOL 134 0.136 90.6 6.7% 23.5% vs LHP 385 11.1% 21.4% 10.6% 37
5 Carson Benge Carson Benge 40 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 142 0.136 90.0 7.2% 16.7% vs LHP 399 8.8% 14.3% 10.7% 41
6 A.J. Ewing A.J. Ewing 31 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 185 0.129 · 6.0% 12.5% vs LHP · 0.0% 0.0% 11.2% 35
7 Brett Baty Brett Baty 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 201 0.082 88.8 6.9% 0.0% vs LHP 415 3.9% 0.0% 7.8% 17
8 Luis Torrens Luis Torrens 26 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 211 0.086 88.1 4.8% 0.0% vs LHP 413 3.7% 0.0% 6.5% 15
🏟️
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