PHI
@
1:40p
NYM
Stadium Conditions
Citi Field
First pitch 1:40p
· roof open
Park 1.01×
Wind 3 mph cross
69°F
open
-1
5 mph · cross
77°F
1:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
6 mph · cross
78°F
2:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
7 mph · slight_out
77°F
3:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
7 mph · slight_out
77°F
4:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
76°F
5:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.01
69°F, wind 3 mph N (cross) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 83 | 🟢 A | +265 | · | 1 | 0.336 | 93.3 | 15.8% | 44.0% vs LHP | 404 | 26.7% | 25.0% | 41.1% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper ⚡ | 75 | 🟡 B | +400 | · | 5 | 0.247 | 90.3 | 12.2% | 11.5% vs LHP | 401 | 21.8% | 30.8% | 28.4% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Brandon Marsh ⚡ | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 43 | 0.187 | 90.0 | 10.2% | 13.3% vs LHP | 394 | 13.3% | 30.8% | 22.9% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Bryson Stott | 48 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 86 | 0.158 | 89.4 | 9.5% | 12.5% vs LHP | 393 | 9.6% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Alec Bohm | 42 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 130 | 0.128 | 89.6 | 7.4% | 14.3% vs LHP | 385 | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Trea Turner ⚡ | 38 | ⚪ D | +700 | · | 151 | 0.104 | 88.7 | 7.6% | 3.9% vs LHP | 394 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 34 |
| 7 |
|
J.T. Realmuto | 37 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 153 | 0.122 | · | 7.9% | 0.0% vs LHP | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 28 |
| 8 |
|
Justin Crawford ⚡ | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 200 | 0.098 | 86.7 | 3.6% | 5.3% | 382 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 25 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Juan Soto ⚡ | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 38 | 0.256 | 93.3 | 9.4% | 16.0% vs LHP | 399 | 19.4% | 7.7% | 27.6% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Mark Vientos | 52 | 🟠 C | +475 | · | 67 | 0.184 | 89.3 | 7.8% | 23.8% vs LHP | 410 | 13.1% | 33.3% | 22.2% | 17 |
| 3 |
|
Francisco Alvarez | 45 | ⚪ D | +425 | · | 106 | 0.174 | 90.5 | 10.1% | 25.0% vs LHP | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.3% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Bo Bichette ⚡ | 41 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 134 | 0.136 | 90.6 | 6.7% | 23.5% vs LHP | 385 | 11.1% | 21.4% | 10.6% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Carson Benge | 40 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 142 | 0.136 | 90.0 | 7.2% | 16.7% vs LHP | 399 | 8.8% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 41 |
| 6 |
|
A.J. Ewing | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 185 | 0.129 | · | 6.0% | 12.5% vs LHP | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 35 |
| 7 |
|
Brett Baty | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 201 | 0.082 | 88.8 | 6.9% | 0.0% vs LHP | 415 | 3.9% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 17 |
| 8 |
|
Luis Torrens | 26 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 211 | 0.086 | 88.1 | 4.8% | 0.0% vs LHP | 413 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 15 |