NYY
@
7:20p
BOS
Stadium Conditions
Fenway Park
First pitch 7:20p
· roof open
Park 0.96×
Wind 1 mph in
64°F
open
-3
6 mph · cross
74°F
7:20p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
6 mph · slight_out
72°F
8:20p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · slight_out
70°F
9:20p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
5 mph · slight_out
68°F
10:20p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
4 mph · out
67°F
11:20p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Neutral · Combined 0.96
64°F, wind 1 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0 — mild park boost, weather flat.
5 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ben Rice | 71 | 🟡 B | +350 | 🌧️ COOL | 13 | 0.302 | 91.6 | 10.2% | 36.0% vs RHP | 390 | 24.7% | 33.3% | 32.6% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Paul Goldschmidt | 64 | 🔵 C+ | +500 | · | 29 | 0.258 | 87.2 | 9.4% | 23.1% vs RHP | 391 | 19.6% | 33.3% | 30.5% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Cody Bellinger | 44 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 119 | 0.182 | 89.0 | 7.4% | 11.9% vs RHP | 379 | 12.0% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Jose Caballero | 32 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 179 | 0.144 | 84.2 | 5.0% | 15.4% vs RHP | 375 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.3% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Austin Wells | 30 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 194 | 0.091 | 89.3 | 6.8% | 12.0% vs RHP | 377 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 9 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 56 | 🟠 C | +390 | · | 50 | 0.234 | 90.1 | 8.8% | 27.8% vs LHP | 403 | 19.5% | 15.4% | 22.8% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 46 | ⚪ D | +525 | · | 101 | 0.174 | 89.8 | 8.2% | 10.0% vs LHP | 402 | 13.0% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Jarren Duran | 42 | ⚪ D | +750 | ❄ COLD | 127 | 0.158 | 89.5 | 7.9% | 9.1% vs LHP | 396 | 14.3% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 36 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 161 | 0.149 | 85.0 | 4.2% | 7.7% vs LHP | 381 | 6.8% | 25.0% | 11.2% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 36 | ⚪ D | +700 | ❄ COLD | 162 | 0.171 | 86.1 | 5.6% | 12.5% vs LHP | 370 | 9.2% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 39 |
| 6 |
|
Carlos Narvaez | 27 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌤️ WARM | 207 | 0.087 | 91.4 | 6.8% | 0.0% vs LHP | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0% | 8 |
| 7 |
|
Masataka Yoshida ⚡ | 26 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 212 | 0.093 | 88.2 | 2.9% | 2.7% | 393 | 6.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 18 |