LAD
@
1:10p
SD
Stadium Conditions
Petco Park
First pitch 1:10p
· roof open
Park 0.91×
Wind 4 mph in
64°F
open
-8
10 mph · cross
72°F
1:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
11 mph · cross
73°F
2:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
11 mph · cross
73°F
3:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
10 mph · cross
72°F
4:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
10 mph · cross
71°F
5:10p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.91
64°F, wind 4 mph W (in) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Shohei Ohtani | 67 | 🔵 C+ | +245 | · | 19 | 0.249 | 93.9 | 12.7% | 26.1% vs RHP | 404 | 18.2% | 27.3% | 26.9% | 22 |
| 2 |
|
Max Muncy | 63 | 🔵 C+ | +330 | ❄ COLD | 33 | 0.237 | 90.4 | 11.9% | 27.9% vs RHP | 408 | 19.3% | 28.6% | 21.6% | 44 |
| 3 |
|
Freddie Freeman | 55 | 🟠 C | +400 | · | 53 | 0.202 | 90.8 | 10.4% | 18.2% vs RHP | 396 | 14.1% | 25.0% | 20.2% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Mookie Betts | 55 | 🟠 C | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 57 | 0.192 | 90.1 | 9.1% | 18.6% vs RHP | 384 | 15.0% | 41.7% | 19.9% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Andy Pages | 48 | ⚪ D | +500 | ❄ COLD | 88 | 0.200 | 89.4 | 8.9% | 25.0% vs RHP | 390 | 15.2% | 0.0% | 13.2% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Kyle Tucker | 37 | ⚪ D | +575 | · | 158 | 0.132 | 88.9 | 7.0% | 10.2% vs RHP | 400 | 6.5% | 20.0% | 7.0% | 22 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Freeland | 31 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 190 | 0.109 | 89.6 | 7.5% | 10.3% vs RHP | 373 | 3.4% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 20 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ty France | 65 | 🔵 C+ | +700 | · | 27 | 0.234 | 91.0 | 11.6% | 38.1% vs RHP | 393 | 19.2% | 27.3% | 29.4% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 55 | 🟠 C | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 58 | 0.218 | 89.2 | 9.4% | 32.5% vs RHP | 394 | 14.3% | 20.0% | 17.2% | 22 |
| 3 |
|
Manny Machado | 54 | 🟠 C | +390 | 🌤️ WARM | 62 | 0.191 | 90.1 | 10.2% | 27.5% vs RHP | 399 | 17.3% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 44 | ⚪ D | +475 | · | 121 | 0.139 | 90.0 | 10.4% | 12.5% vs RHP | 407 | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 34 |
| 5 |
|
Miguel Andujar | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 165 | 0.153 | 87.9 | 6.9% | 16.7% vs RHP | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.4% | 5 |
| 6 |
|
Xander Bogaerts ⚡ | 35 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 166 | 0.107 | 88.1 | 8.2% | 18.4% vs RHP | 395 | 9.6% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Freddy Fermin ⚡ | 30 | ⚪ D | +750 | ❄ COLD | 193 | 0.110 | 86.4 | 5.7% | 4.2% vs RHP | 382 | 4.8% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 2 |