⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs
BOS
@
CIN
Great American Ball Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.18×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.826
Temp
36.2°F
Wind
6.9 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 68 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 9 0.223 90.8 9.7% 15.2% 400 50.0% 50.0% 18.3% 17
2 Trevor Story Trevor Story 67 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 11 0.170 91.4 8.7% 15.2% 388 50.0% 50.0% 18.3% 20
3 Roman Anthony Roman Anthony 58 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 33 0.171 94.5 10.9% 14.8% 406 0.0% 0.0% 18.1% 14
4 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 56 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 43 0.173 90.0 8.4% 13.8% 404 0.0% 0.0% 17.5% 18
5 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 55 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 50 0.185 91.8 8.6% 9.0% 401 0.0% 0.0% 14.1% 16
6 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 49 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 78 0.190 90.6 10.3% 15.2% 407 0.0% 0.0% 18.3% 14
7 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 121 0.130 85.2 5.5% 7.3% 390 0.0% 0.0% 12.7% 24
8 Masataka Yoshida Masataka Yoshida 37 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 156 0.122 90.2 7.1% 10.5% 383 0.0% 0.0% 15.2% 14
9 Connor Wong Connor Wong 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 178 0.048 85.5 4.9% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 2.4% 9
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 60 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 30 0.176 91.0 6.7% 0.0% 405 50.0% 50.0% 2.2% 18
2 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 58 🟠 C · · 38 0.291 95.4 8.8% 0.0% 410 0.0% 0.0% 4.2% 24
3 Eugenio Suárez Eugenio Suárez 54 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 56 0.298 90.2 7.9% 0.0% 404 0.0% 0.0% 3.5% 10
4 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 49 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 84 0.173 87.3 5.8% 0.0% 388 0.0% 0.0% 1.7% 20
5 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 91 0.191 90.5 8.0% 0.0% 387 0.0% 0.0% 2.6% 12
6 Noelvi Marte Noelvi Marte 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 92 0.186 88.5 6.3% 0.0% 406 0.0% 0.0% 2.2% 14
7 Matt McLain Matt McLain 44 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 119 0.124 88.8 5.8% 0.0% 391 0.0% 0.0% 1.4% 21
8 TJ Friedl TJ Friedl 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 160 0.117 87.1 3.5% 0.0% 385 0.0% 0.0% 1.2% 16
9 Dane Myers Dane Myers 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 181 0.091 90.7 5.9% 0.0% 398 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 12
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