ATH
@
—
TOR
Park Factor
1.10×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.100
Wind
0 mph
dome
Eric Lauer
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Shea Langeliers | 76 | 🟡 B | · | 🔥 HOT | 2 | 0.260 | 90.9 | 9.5% | 18.6% | 399 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 15.2% | 13 |
| 2 |
|
Nick Kurtz | 70 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 6 | 0.329 | 92.7 | 12.2% | 30.8% | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.5% | 10 |
| 3 |
|
Brent Rooker | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 29 | 0.217 | 90.7 | 10.5% | 15.2% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.7% | 14 |
| 4 |
|
Austin Wynns | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 48 | 0.252 | 88.6 | 8.8% | 23.1% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.9% | 7 |
| 5 |
|
Max Muncy | 55 | 🟠 C | · | · | 49 | 0.227 | 91.3 | 10.5% | 16.8% | 400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.4% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Tyler Soderstrom | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 86 | 0.198 | 91.6 | 9.6% | 18.9% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.3% | 12 |
| 7 |
|
Denzel Clarke | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 89 | 0.142 | 90.0 | 7.4% | 12.0% | 433 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.2% | 14 |
| 8 |
|
Jacob Wilson | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 158 | 0.134 | 84.6 | 4.2% | 10.5% | 383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.4% | 18 |
| 9 |
|
Darell Hernaiz | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 177 | 0.075 | 85.0 | 5.1% | 4.1% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 8 |
Luis Morales
RHP
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
George Springer | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 15 | 0.251 | 90.0 | 13.2% | 20.0% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.5% | 21 |
| 2 |
|
Daulton Varsho | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | ❄ COLD | 20 | 0.310 | 89.9 | 13.2% | 21.3% | 400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.1% | 21 |
| 3 |
|
Addison Barger | 57 | 🟠 C | · | · | 41 | 0.211 | 91.7 | 11.2% | 15.7% | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.5% | 17 |
| 4 |
|
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 42 | 0.175 | 92.0 | 11.5% | 14.3% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.8% | 14 |
| 5 |
|
Jesús Sánchez | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 88 | 0.157 | 91.3 | 11.0% | 11.5% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.3% | 13 |
| 6 |
|
Andrés Giménez | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 124 | 0.103 | 86.3 | 5.7% | 7.6% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Tyler Heineman | 38 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 150 | 0.128 | 84.4 | 5.9% | 5.7% | 382 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 6 |
| 8 |
|
Ernie Clement | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 168 | 0.121 | 86.6 | 5.1% | 4.3% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 17 |