WSH
@
—
CHC
Park Factor
1.03×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.721
Temp
42.6°F
Wind
10.4 mph
cross
Roof
open
Jake Irvin
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ ⚡ | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 10 | 0.178 | 90.0 | 11.1% | 13.3% | 393 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 15.4% | 15 |
| 2 |
|
Michael Busch | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | ❄ COLD | 24 | 0.261 | 92.2 | 14.3% | 20.9% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.4% | 21 |
| 3 |
|
Alex Bregman | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 28 | 0.189 | 90.1 | 8.9% | 11.2% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.2% | 15 |
| 4 |
|
Carson Kelly | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 37 | 0.179 | 88.8 | 10.7% | 13.6% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.6% | 13 |
| 5 |
|
Moisés Ballesteros | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 39 | 0.175 | 89.1 | 8.9% | 22.2% | 401 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 15 |
| 6 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 54 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 54 | 0.234 | 89.5 | 12.4% | 14.2% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.0% | 11 |
| 7 |
|
Dansby Swanson ⚡ | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 71 | 0.173 | 90.5 | 11.8% | 15.5% | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 16 |
| 8 |
|
Michael Conforto | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 76 | 0.134 | 89.9 | 10.7% | 10.3% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.6% | 16 |
| 9 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 136 | 0.097 | 86.7 | 5.2% | 3.7% | 379 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 19 |