⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs
WSH
@
CHC
Wrigley Field · 9 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.03×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.721
Temp
42.6°F
Wind
10.4 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 68 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 10 0.178 90.0 11.1% 13.3% 393 50.0% 50.0% 15.4% 15
2 Michael Busch Michael Busch 61 🔵 C+ · ❄ COLD 24 0.261 92.2 14.3% 20.9% 397 0.0% 0.0% 19.4% 21
3 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 60 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 28 0.189 90.1 8.9% 11.2% 386 0.0% 0.0% 14.2% 15
4 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 58 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 37 0.179 88.8 10.7% 13.6% 386 0.0% 0.0% 15.6% 13
5 Moisés Ballesteros Moisés Ballesteros 57 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 39 0.175 89.1 8.9% 22.2% 401 0.0% 0.0% 20.0% 15
6 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 54 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 54 0.234 89.5 12.4% 14.2% 395 0.0% 0.0% 16.0% 11
7 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 50 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 71 0.173 90.5 11.8% 15.5% 403 0.0% 0.0% 16.7% 16
8 Michael Conforto Michael Conforto 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 76 0.134 89.9 10.7% 10.3% 408 0.0% 0.0% 13.6% 16
9 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 136 0.097 86.7 5.2% 3.7% 379 0.0% 0.0% 8.1% 19
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