2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Junior Caminero 7 HRs · 2 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 3 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 4 Manny Machado 5 HRs · 5 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 6 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 8 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 9 Carter Jensen 4 HRs · 10 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Caleb Durbin 4 HRs 1 Junior Caminero 7 HRs · 2 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 3 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 4 Manny Machado 5 HRs · 5 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 6 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 8 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 9 Carter Jensen 4 HRs · 10 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Caleb Durbin 4 HRs
BAL
@ 7:10p
CIN
Great American Ball Park · 18 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Great American Ball Park

First pitch 7:10p · roof open
Park 1.07× Wind 2 mph in 76°F open
+0
4 mph · in
91°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · in
90°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · in
87°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · in
85°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · in
83°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.07

76°F, wind 2 mph WNW (in) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Brady Singer
Brady Singer RHP 🎯 Susceptible 💥 Meltdown
2.24 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +1.61 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 68 🔵 C+ +265 🌧️ COOL 6 0.218 94.1 11.6% 30.2% vs RHP 399 19.8% 25.0% 32.7% 24
2 Samuel Basallo Samuel Basallo 60 🔵 C+ +305 · 16 0.193 91.4 11.0% 25.6% vs RHP 401 13.1% 10.0% 25.8% 26
3 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 57 🟠 C +280 🌧️ COOL 32 0.195 89.5 9.1% 17.0% vs RHP 388 17.9% 8.3% 15.2% 44
4 Coby Mayo Coby Mayo 56 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 37 0.178 91.8 10.1% 10.7% vs RHP 403 14.5% 10.0% 13.3% 19
5 Colton Cowser Colton Cowser 55 🟠 C +390 🌧️ COOL 42 0.158 86.5 11.3% 22.9% vs RHP 417 16.7% 14.3% 13.2% 21
6 Adley Rutschman Adley Rutschman 54 🟠 C +390 🌧️ COOL 48 0.189 89.4 9.5% 14.7% vs RHP 400 11.1% 0.0% 14.3% 8
7 Blaze Alexander Blaze Alexander 48 ⚪ D +525 🌤️ WARM 72 0.125 92.3 8.5% 10.5% vs RHP 392 5.6% 11.1% 9.2% 23
8 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 45 ⚪ D +475 🌤️ WARM 90 0.099 89.3 7.5% 6.0% vs RHP 393 5.7% 16.7% 9.6% 36
9 Leody Taveras Leody Taveras 45 ⚪ D · · 91 0.133 87.5 6.9% 8.8% vs RHP 410 1.7% 10.0% 9.2% 26
Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers LHP
1.03 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.42 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 57 🟠 C +290 · 29 0.226 94.3 9.9% 38.9% vs LHP 395 15.4% 11.1% 19.3% 23
2 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 56 🟠 C +280 · 39 0.205 91.0 10.0% 35.7% vs LHP 393 12.7% 23.1% 19.1% 36
3 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 54 🟠 C +330 🌧️ COOL 45 0.187 89.3 9.3% 28.6% vs LHP 394 12.8% 22.2% 24.5% 24
4 Jj Bleday Jj Bleday 51 🟠 C +390 ❄ COLD 57 0.255 89.3 8.1% 21.4% vs LHP 385 0.0% 0.0% 15.7% 23
5 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 51 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 60 0.214 88.7 8.6% 23.1% 398 14.3% 0.0% 14.0% 14
6 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 45 ⚪ D +370 🌤️ WARM 92 0.145 91.1 8.6% 7.1% vs LHP 384 7.5% 12.5% 8.5% 22
7 Matt Mclain Matt Mclain 43 ⚪ D +500 🌧️ COOL 95 0.148 89.0 8.0% 22.2% vs LHP 398 0.0% 0.0% 10.8% 13
8 Eugenio Suarez Eugenio Suarez 41 ⚪ D +320 · 108 0.159 87.1 7.2% 25.0% vs LHP 384 0.0% 0.0% 12.1% 20
9 Tj Friedl Tj Friedl 34 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 164 0.082 87.9 4.0% 5.0% 364 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 5
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