BAL
@
7:10p
CIN
Stadium Conditions
Great American Ball Park
First pitch 7:10p
· roof open
Park 1.07×
Wind 2 mph in
76°F
open
+0
4 mph · in
91°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · in
90°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · in
87°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · in
85°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · in
83°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.07
76°F, wind 2 mph WNW (in) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Alonso | 68 | 🔵 C+ | +265 | 🌧️ COOL | 6 | 0.218 | 94.1 | 11.6% | 30.2% vs RHP | 399 | 19.8% | 25.0% | 32.7% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +305 | · | 16 | 0.193 | 91.4 | 11.0% | 25.6% vs RHP | 401 | 13.1% | 10.0% | 25.8% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 57 | 🟠 C | +280 | 🌧️ COOL | 32 | 0.195 | 89.5 | 9.1% | 17.0% vs RHP | 388 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 44 |
| 4 |
|
Coby Mayo | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 37 | 0.178 | 91.8 | 10.1% | 10.7% vs RHP | 403 | 14.5% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 19 |
| 5 |
|
Colton Cowser | 55 | 🟠 C | +390 | 🌧️ COOL | 42 | 0.158 | 86.5 | 11.3% | 22.9% vs RHP | 417 | 16.7% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 21 |
| 6 |
|
Adley Rutschman | 54 | 🟠 C | +390 | 🌧️ COOL | 48 | 0.189 | 89.4 | 9.5% | 14.7% vs RHP | 400 | 11.1% | 0.0% | 14.3% | 8 |
| 7 |
|
Blaze Alexander | 48 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 72 | 0.125 | 92.3 | 8.5% | 10.5% vs RHP | 392 | 5.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 23 |
| 8 |
|
Taylor Ward ⚡ | 45 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 90 | 0.099 | 89.3 | 7.5% | 6.0% vs RHP | 393 | 5.7% | 16.7% | 9.6% | 36 |
| 9 |
|
Leody Taveras | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 91 | 0.133 | 87.5 | 6.9% | 8.8% vs RHP | 410 | 1.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 26 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 57 | 🟠 C | +290 | · | 29 | 0.226 | 94.3 | 9.9% | 38.9% vs LHP | 395 | 15.4% | 11.1% | 19.3% | 23 |
| 2 |
|
Sal Stewart | 56 | 🟠 C | +280 | · | 39 | 0.205 | 91.0 | 10.0% | 35.7% vs LHP | 393 | 12.7% | 23.1% | 19.1% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Steer | 54 | 🟠 C | +330 | 🌧️ COOL | 45 | 0.187 | 89.3 | 9.3% | 28.6% vs LHP | 394 | 12.8% | 22.2% | 24.5% | 24 |
| 4 |
|
Jj Bleday | 51 | 🟠 C | +390 | ❄ COLD | 57 | 0.255 | 89.3 | 8.1% | 21.4% vs LHP | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.7% | 23 |
| 5 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 51 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 60 | 0.214 | 88.7 | 8.6% | 23.1% | 398 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 14.0% | 14 |
| 6 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 45 | ⚪ D | +370 | 🌤️ WARM | 92 | 0.145 | 91.1 | 8.6% | 7.1% vs LHP | 384 | 7.5% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 22 |
| 7 |
|
Matt Mclain | 43 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 95 | 0.148 | 89.0 | 8.0% | 22.2% vs LHP | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 13 |
| 8 |
|
Eugenio Suarez | 41 | ⚪ D | +320 | · | 108 | 0.159 | 87.1 | 7.2% | 25.0% vs LHP | 384 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.1% | 20 |
| 9 |
|
Tj Friedl ⚡ | 34 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 164 | 0.082 | 87.9 | 4.0% | 5.0% | 364 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 5 |