2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Ceddanne Rafaela 7 HRs · 2 Matt Olson 6 HRs · 3 Jeremy Peña 5 HRs · 4 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 5 Jackson Merrill 4 HRs · 6 Ozzie Albies 4 HRs · 7 Mickey Moniak 4 HRs · 8 Kyle Stowers 4 HRs · 9 Kyle Manzardo 4 HRs · 10 Bryce Harper 3 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 3 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 3 HRs 1 Ceddanne Rafaela 7 HRs · 2 Matt Olson 6 HRs · 3 Jeremy Peña 5 HRs · 4 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 5 Jackson Merrill 4 HRs · 6 Ozzie Albies 4 HRs · 7 Mickey Moniak 4 HRs · 8 Kyle Stowers 4 HRs · 9 Kyle Manzardo 4 HRs · 10 Bryce Harper 3 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 3 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 3 HRs

Dinger Tuesday Picks — June 2, 2026

The graded receipt for 2026-06-02: what the model ranked, what actually happened. Not gambling advice.

The record, in public

15.3%
Top-50 pick hit rate
1.4×
Vs 10.6% field rate
2,975
HRs graded live
128
Slates on the record
2026-03-26 through 2026-08-04. See the full track record →

Home runs, graded · June 2, 2026

29
HRs by scored batters
1/5
Top-5 picks that homered
4/15
Top-15 picks that homered
52.0 vs 42.5
Avg score: HR vs miss
RankBatterVs pitcherModel scoreTier
#1 Yordan Alvarez Bubba Chandler 87 A Excellent
#11 Brandon Lowe Mike Burrows 73 B AboveAvg
#13 Oneil Cruz Mike Burrows 71 B AboveAvg
#15 Bryce Harper Randy Vásquez 70 B AboveAvg
#17 Nick Kurtz Jameson Taillon 69 C+ Value
#21 Hunter Goodman Grayson Rodriguez 68 C+ Value
#22 Matt Olson Kevin Gausman 68 C+ Value
#44 Pete Alonso Connelly Early 59 C BelowAvg
#52 Wenceel Pérez Steven Matz 57 C BelowAvg
#53 Coby Mayo Connelly Early 57 C BelowAvg
#54 Jake Bauers Trevor McDonald 56 C BelowAvg
#57 Corbin Carroll Eric Lauer 56 C BelowAvg
#68 Gavin Sheets Aaron Nola 53 C BelowAvg
#80 Paul Goldschmidt Joey Cantillo 50 C BelowAvg
#86 Willy Adames Kyle Harrison 49 D Below
#90 Kazuma Okamoto Bryce Elder 48 D Below
#92 Riley Greene Steven Matz 48 D Below
#93 Freddie Freeman Michael Soroka 48 D Below
#96 Spencer Steer Noah Cameron 47 D Below
#104 Tj Rumfield Grayson Rodriguez 45 D Below
#146 Nolan Gorman Nathan Eovaldi 40 D Below
#147 Gleyber Torres Steven Matz 40 D Below
#154 Kyle Manzardo Cam Schlittler 38 D Below
#164 Carson Benge Logan Gilbert 38 D Below
#165 Otto Lopez Richard Lovelady 37 D Below
#174 Joe Mack Richard Lovelady 35 D Below
#175 Heriberto Hernández Richard Lovelady 35 D Below
#182 Willi Castro Grayson Rodriguez 34 D Below
#189 Endy Rodríguez Mike Burrows 33 D Below

Outside the top 50

Wenceel Pérez, Coby Mayo, Jake Bauers, Corbin Carroll, Gavin Sheets, Paul Goldschmidt, Willy Adames, Kazuma Okamoto, Riley Greene, Freddie Freeman, Spencer Steer, Tj Rumfield, Nolan Gorman, Gleyber Torres, Kyle Manzardo, Carson Benge, Otto Lopez, Joe Mack, Heriberto Hernández, Willi Castro, Endy Rodríguez

How we approach a home run promo

A recurring home run promotion turns one day a week into a single-question day: which bat do you put the credit on? TheHomeRuns.org answers it the same way every other day — every MLB batter is scored on 30+ signals (barrel-rate matchup, the opposing starter's home-run rate, park factor, weather, recent form) and the board is ranked by home run probability. The model score you see on each pick is that composite, 0–100.

Two things we do not do. We do not publish promo terms — amounts, boosts, eligibility and availability are the sportsbook's, they change without notice, and we have no way to verify them, so check the book's own promotions page. And we do not hide bad days: every board is graded the next morning against real results, misses included, on the track record and in the dated archive. The whole reason this page is worth reading on a promo morning is that you can check what it said the last time.

Questions

What is Dinger Tuesday?

Dinger Tuesday is the name used for a recurring sportsbook promotion on home run props — books such as FanDuel have run recurring home run promos. The terms, eligibility and availability are set by the sportsbook and change without notice, so TheHomeRuns.org does not publish them: check the book's own promotions page for what is live today. We are not affiliated with, endorsed by or sponsored by any sportsbook. What we publish is the model's ranked home run board for the day, and the graded result of every past board.

Who should I pick today?

This page is the graded record for June 2, 2026, not a live board. Today's ranked picks are at https://thehomeruns.org/dinger-tuesday-picks. Every board on this site is graded in public the next morning, hits and misses. Not gambling advice.

How accurate are these home run picks?

Across 128 graded slates this season, 15.3% of our top-50 picks homered against a 10.6% league field rate — about 1.4x the field. Every board is graded in public the next morning, hits and misses, and the dated archive on this site stays up.

Graded promo-day archive

Not gambling advice. TheHomeRuns.org publishes model output and its graded record; nothing here is a recommendation to place a wager. We are not affiliated with, endorsed by or sponsored by FanDuel or any sportsbook, and we do not state any promotion's terms, credit amounts, odds or eligibility — check the sportsbook's own promotions page. 21+ where legal. If gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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