Dinger Tuesday Picks — May 26, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-05-26: what the model ranked, what actually happened. Not gambling advice.
The record, in public
Home runs, graded · May 26, 2026
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Model score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #6 | James Wood | Joey Cantillo | 77 | B AboveAvg |
| #7 | Juan Soto | Chase Burns | 75 | B AboveAvg |
| #8 | Munetaka Murakami | Joe Ryan | 74 | B AboveAvg |
| #15 | Hunter Goodman | Eric Lauer | 70 | B AboveAvg |
| #27 | Bryce Harper | Randy Vásquez | 65 | C+ Value |
| #36 | Samuel Basallo | Griffin Jax | 62 | C+ Value |
| #40 | Andy Pages | Kyle Freeland | 61 | C+ Value |
| #44 | Casey Schmitt | Eduardo Rodriguez | 60 | C+ Value |
| #46 | Jake Bauers | Michael McGreevy | 60 | C+ Value |
| #55 | Ketel Marte | Tyler Mahle | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #57 | Yordan Álvarez | Jack Leiter | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #58 | Matt Olson | Ranger Suarez | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #68 | Michael Harris II | Ranger Suarez | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #69 | Cody Bellinger | Bailey Falter | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #70 | Will Smith | Kyle Freeland | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #77 | Jarren Duran | Spencer Strider | 49 | D Below |
| #79 | Tyler Soderstrom | Emerson Hancock | 48 | D Below |
| #81 | Amed Rosario | Bailey Falter | 48 | D Below |
| #94 | Bobby Witt Jr. | Cam Schlittler | 46 | D Below |
| #98 | Garrett Mitchell | Michael McGreevy | 46 | D Below |
| #102 | Trent Grisham | Bailey Falter | 45 | D Below |
| #105 | Manny Machado | Aaron Nola | 45 | D Below |
| #112 | Ramón Laureano | Aaron Nola | 44 | D Below |
| #123 | Willy Adames | Eduardo Rodriguez | 43 | D Below |
| #131 | Ceddanne Rafaela | Spencer Strider | 42 | D Below |
| #133 | Spencer Horwitz | Jordan Wicks | 42 | D Below |
| #135 | Jesús Sánchez | Sandy Alcantara | 41 | D Below |
| #148 | Jo Adell | Keider Montero | 40 | D Below |
| #160 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | Bailey Falter | 38 | D Below |
| #171 | Kyle Karros | Eric Lauer | 37 | D Below |
| #173 | Evan Carter | Jason Alexander | 37 | D Below |
| #174 | Ernie Clement | Sandy Alcantara | 37 | D Below |
| #179 | Trea Turner | Randy Vásquez | 35 | D Below |
| #183 | Cam Smith | Jack Leiter | 34 | D Below |
| #188 | Adrian Del Castillo | Tyler Mahle | 33 | D Below |
| #189 | Joc Pederson | Jason Alexander | 33 | D Below |
| #216 | Yohendrick Piñango | Sandy Alcantara | 28 | D Below |
| #220 | Vaughn Grissom | Keider Montero | 26 | D Below |
| #232 | Wenceel Pérez | Jack Kochanowicz | 22 | D Below |
| #238 | Anthony Volpe | Bailey Falter | 22 | D Below |
| #244 | Isiah Kiner-Falefa | Spencer Strider | 20 | D Below |
| #245 | J. T. Realmuto | Randy Vásquez | 19 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Ketel Marte, Yordan Álvarez, Matt Olson, Michael Harris II, Cody Bellinger, Will Smith, Jarren Duran, Tyler Soderstrom, Amed Rosario, Bobby Witt Jr., Garrett Mitchell, Trent Grisham, Manny Machado, Ramón Laureano, Willy Adames, Ceddanne Rafaela, Spencer Horwitz, Jesús Sánchez, Jo Adell, Jazz Chisholm Jr., Kyle Karros, Evan Carter, Ernie Clement, Trea Turner, Cam Smith, Adrian Del Castillo, Joc Pederson, Yohendrick Piñango, Vaughn Grissom, Wenceel Pérez, Anthony Volpe, Isiah Kiner-Falefa, J. T. Realmuto
How we approach a home run promo
A recurring home run promotion turns one day a week into a single-question day: which bat do you put the credit on? TheHomeRuns.org answers it the same way every other day — every MLB batter is scored on 30+ signals (barrel-rate matchup, the opposing starter's home-run rate, park factor, weather, recent form) and the board is ranked by home run probability. The model score you see on each pick is that composite, 0–100.
Two things we do not do. We do not publish promo terms — amounts, boosts, eligibility and availability are the sportsbook's, they change without notice, and we have no way to verify them, so check the book's own promotions page. And we do not hide bad days: every board is graded the next morning against real results, misses included, on the track record and in the dated archive. The whole reason this page is worth reading on a promo morning is that you can check what it said the last time.
Questions
Dinger Tuesday is the name used for a recurring sportsbook promotion on home run props — books such as FanDuel have run recurring home run promos. The terms, eligibility and availability are set by the sportsbook and change without notice, so TheHomeRuns.org does not publish them: check the book's own promotions page for what is live today. We are not affiliated with, endorsed by or sponsored by any sportsbook. What we publish is the model's ranked home run board for the day, and the graded result of every past board.
This page is the graded record for May 26, 2026, not a live board. Today's ranked picks are at https://thehomeruns.org/dinger-tuesday-picks. Every board on this site is graded in public the next morning, hits and misses. Not gambling advice.
Across 128 graded slates this season, 15.3% of our top-50 picks homered against a 10.6% league field rate — about 1.4x the field. Every board is graded in public the next morning, hits and misses, and the dated archive on this site stays up.
Graded promo-day archive
Not gambling advice. TheHomeRuns.org publishes model output and its graded record; nothing here is a recommendation to place a wager. We are not affiliated with, endorsed by or sponsored by FanDuel or any sportsbook, and we do not state any promotion's terms, credit amounts, odds or eligibility — check the sportsbook's own promotions page. 21+ where legal. If gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.