Today · 2026-07-16

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

📦 STACK Christian Scott FIP 4.16 HR/FB 23.1% → #1 Kyle Schwarber, #3 Bryce Harper, #5 Brandon Marsh, #10 Alec Bohm, #11 Bryson Stott, #12 J.T. Realmuto, #13 Trea Turner, #15 Justin Crawford

📦 STACK Aaron Nola FIP 4.82 HR/FB 22.6% → #2 Juan Soto, #4 Francisco Alvarez, #6 A.J. Ewing, #7 Carson Benge, #8 Bo Bichette, #9 Brett Baty, #14 Luis Torrens

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-07-12. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.6% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Kyle Schwarber (L) ⁴	74	-16.5	●	Christian Scott (RHP) NYM @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	7:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	32	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-07-08 OffRhett Lowder Exit Velo105.6 mph Angle25.0° Distance387 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	●○○○○	1.3×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.12 FIP4.12 IP889.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+14 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.9°F Wind1.1 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+14 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note75°F, wind 1 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0
2	Juan Soto (L) ⁴	73	-12.4	●	Aaron Nola (RHP) NYM @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	7:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-07-09 OffBeck Way Exit Velo106.6 mph Angle29.0° Distance435 ft StadiumCiti Field	○●○○○	1.0×	1	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.23 FIP3.84 IP868.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+7 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.9°F Wind1.1 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note75°F, wind 1 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0
3	Bryce Harper (L) ²	60	-13.3	●	Christian Scott (RHP) NYM @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	17d Last HR · 2026-06-29 OffBraxton Ashcraft Exit Velo106.7 mph Angle26.0° Distance405 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○○○○	3.0×	1	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.12 FIP4.12 IP889.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+1 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.9°F Wind1.1 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note75°F, wind 1 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0
4	Brandon Marsh (L) ³	52	-8.6	●	Christian Scott (RHP) NYM @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	7:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	15d Last HR · 2026-07-01 OffPaul Skenes Exit Velo99.2 mph Angle27.0° Distance351 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○○○○	2.2×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.12 FIP4.12 IP889.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+5 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.9°F Wind1.1 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note75°F, wind 1 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0
5	Francisco Alvarez (R) ²	51	-6.6	●	Aaron Nola (RHP) NYM @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	7:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	9	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	16d Last HR · 2026-06-30 OffKevin Gausman Exit Velo105.2 mph Angle31.0° Distance415 ft StadiumRogers Centre	○○○○○	1.8×	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.23 FIP3.84 IP868.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-7 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.9°F Wind1.1 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-7 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note75°F, wind 1 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0
6	Carson Benge (L) ³	49	-5.4	●	Aaron Nola (RHP) NYM @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	7:10p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	11	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	10d Last HR · 2026-07-06 OffReynaldo López Exit Velo102.4 mph Angle28.0° Distance398 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○○○○	1.5×	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.23 FIP3.84 IP868.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+0 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.9°F Wind1.1 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 11 HR Note75°F, wind 1 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0
7	A.J. Ewing (L) ⁴	47	-5.9	●	Aaron Nola (RHP) NYM @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	7:10p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	7	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%8.7% Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	○○○○○	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.23 FIP3.84 IP868.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+1 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.9°F Wind1.1 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+1 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note75°F, wind 1 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0
8	Brett Baty (L) ³	47	-5.1	●	Aaron Nola (RHP) NYM @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	7:10p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	4	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-07-10 OffGreg Weissert Exit Velo105.5 mph Angle26.0° Distance384 ft StadiumCiti Field	○○●○○	0.1×	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.23 FIP3.84 IP868.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+10 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.9°F Wind1.1 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+10 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note75°F, wind 1 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0
9	Bo Bichette (R) ³	46	-4.7	●	Aaron Nola (RHP) NYM @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	7:10p	⚪ D	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	10	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	22d Last HR · 2026-06-24 OffGavin Hollowell Exit Velo106.3 mph Angle31.0° Distance411 ft StadiumCiti Field	○○○○○	1.4×	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.23 FIP3.84 IP868.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-5 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.9°F Wind1.1 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note75°F, wind 1 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0
10	Alec Bohm (R) ²	45	-4.9	●	Christian Scott (RHP) NYM @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	7:10p	⚪ D	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	11	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%6.5% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	12d Last HR · 2026-07-04 OffMichael Wacha Exit Velo105.8 mph Angle27.0° Distance444 ft StadiumKauffman Stadium	○○○○○	1.3×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.12 FIP4.12 IP889.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-11 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.9°F Wind1.1 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 11 HR Note75°F, wind 1 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0
11	Bryson Stott (L)	44	-5.1	●	Christian Scott (RHP) NYM @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	7:10p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	7	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%7.4% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	23d Last HR · 2026-06-23 OffBrad Lord Exit Velo104.4 mph Angle31.0° Distance403 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○○	2.0×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.12 FIP4.12 IP889.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+15 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.9°F Wind1.1 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+15 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 7 HR Note75°F, wind 1 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0
12	Trea Turner (R)	42	-6.9	●	Christian Scott (RHP) NYM @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	7:10p	⚪ D	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	10	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%7.0% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	15d Last HR · 2026-07-01 OffPaul Skenes Exit Velo93.8 mph Angle35.0° Distance372 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○○○○	1.8×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.12 FIP4.12 IP889.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-12 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.9°F Wind1.1 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-12 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 9 HR Note75°F, wind 1 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0
13	Luis Torrens (R) ³	41	·	●	Aaron Nola (RHP) NYM @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	7:10p	⚪ D	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	2	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%6.3% Avg EV87.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	16d Last HR · 2026-06-30 OffMason Fluharty Exit Velo101.2 mph Angle24.0° Distance375 ft StadiumRogers Centre	○○○○○	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.23 FIP3.84 IP868.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+0 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.9°F Wind1.1 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceblend · 2 HR Note75°F, wind 1 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0
14	J.T. Realmuto (R)	39	-6.8	●	Christian Scott (RHP) NYM @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	7:10p	⚪ D	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	7	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%6.3% Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	43d Last HR · 2026-06-03 OffWalker Buehler Exit Velo104.4 mph Angle27.0° Distance422 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○○●○	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.12 FIP4.12 IP889.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-7 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.9°F Wind1.1 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-7 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note75°F, wind 1 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0
15	Justin Crawford (L) ²	34	-2.9	●	Christian Scott (RHP) NYM @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	7:10p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	2	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%2.8% Avg EV86.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	64d Last HR · 2026-05-13 OffSonny Gray Exit Velo103.4 mph Angle25.0° Distance403 ft StadiumFenway Park	○○○○○	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.12 FIP4.12 IP889.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+2 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.9°F Wind1.1 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+2 · Neutral Spray Sourceblend · 2 HR Note75°F, wind 1 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0

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Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

17.7%

▼ -0.7 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 18.0% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-07-15

scoring

⏳

Results scoring in progress

Catch-rate and HR totals for 2026-07-15 update once the night's games finish and the model collects results. Usually live by mid-morning.

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

James Wood ×5 Ben Rice ×4 Shohei Ohtani ×4 Juan Soto ×3 JJ Bleday ×2

❄️ Cold

Corbin Carroll 0 of 6d Freddie Freeman 0 of 6d Hunter Goodman 0 of 6d Dansby Swanson 0 of 6d Ian Happ 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.8%

B 19.8%

C+ 16.7%

C 13.6%

D 8.8%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-07-16

You saw the full board yesterday

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.