Morning Wizard

2026-07-17 · 227 matchups scored

1 of 9 steps done

Step 1 of 9 15 candidates · 0 locked from this step

Park + Weather

Today's most HR-friendly environments — parks and weather conditions that favor the long ball.

WSH

ATH

WSH @ ATH Neutral 1.255

Sutter Health Park Park × 1.25 Unknown stadium

1.25×

· #14 Curtis Mead ·

BAL

HOU

BAL @ HOU Crosswind 1.250

Minute Maid Park Park × 1.14 warm air · light crosswind · retractable roof

1.14× 81.0°F 4 mph retractable

· · #13 Pete Alonso

LAD

NYY

LAD @ NYY Wind in 1.207

Yankee Stadium Park × 1.21 mild air · light wind in · roof open

1.21× 71.4°F 6.0 mph open

#1 Ben Rice 4th signal park · arsenal · form · top · ·

CIN

COL

CIN @ COL Wind out 1.162

Coors Field Park × 1.16 mild air · light wind out · roof open

1.16× 70.3°F 4 mph open

· #20 Kyle Karros 3rd signal park · pitcher ·

MIA

MIL

MIA @ MIL Wind in 1.140

American Family Field Park × 1.14 mild air · light wind in · retractable roof

1.14× 68.9°F 1.0 mph retractable

· · #41 Jackson Chourio

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Step 2 of 9 2 candidates · 0 locked from this step

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Susceptible Pitchers

Pitchers on today's slate with the highest HR-susceptibility scores — they give up dingers at elevated rates.

Dean Kremer ⚠️ High

9 HRs · 0.423 HR/IP · 34.6% HR/FB · 6.95 ERA

FIP 6.95 · xFIP 3.36 · Gap +3.59

Brady Singer ⚠️ High

21 HRs · 0.228 HR/IP · 22.6% HR/FB · 5.7 ERA

FIP 5.7 · xFIP 4.31 · Gap +1.39

View full report →

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The Wizard has more to show you

Steps 3–9 include FIP-xFIP gap risk, splits edges, arsenal matchups, hot/cold streaks, unlucky barrels, and your final picks summary.

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Morning Wizard

Park + Weather

Susceptible Pitchers

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