Morning Wizard

2026-07-09 · 194 matchups scored

1 of 9 steps done

Step 1 of 9 15 candidates · 0 locked from this step

Park + Weather

Today's most HR-friendly environments — parks and weather conditions that favor the long ball.

CHC

BAL

CHC @ BAL Crosswind 1.076

Camden Yards Park × 1.08 warm air · light crosswind · roof open

1.08× 75.1°F 3 mph open

· · #19 Samuel Basallo

SEA

MIA

SEA @ MIA Neutral 1.073

loanDepot Park Park × 1.07 neutral

1.07× 0 mph

#6 Dominic Canzone 2nd signal park · top · ·

NYY

NYY @ TB Neutral 1.045

Tropicana Field Park × 1.04 neutral

1.04× 0 mph

· #3 Junior Caminero 2nd signal park · top ·

LAA

TEX

LAA @ TEX Wind out 1.015

Globe Life Field Park × 0.92 warm air · light wind out · retractable roof

0.92× 81.5°F 4 mph retractable

· · #41 Joc Pederson

NYM

KC @ NYM Wind out 1.013

Citi Field Park × 1.01 mild air · light wind out · roof open

1.01× 71.4°F 6.0 mph open

#8 Juan Soto 2nd signal park · top · ·

View full report →

Step 2 of 9 2 candidates · 0 locked from this step

🎯

Susceptible Pitchers

Pitchers on today's slate with the highest HR-susceptibility scores — they give up dingers at elevated rates.

Brady Singer ⚠️ High

21 HRs · 0.247 HR/IP · 23.6% HR/FB · 5.93 ERA

FIP 5.93 · xFIP 4.35 · Gap +1.58

Merrill Kelly ⚠️ High

21 HRs · 0.241 HR/IP · 20.8% HR/FB · 6.39 ERA

FIP 6.39 · xFIP 5.06 · Gap +1.33

View full report →

🧙‍♂️

The Wizard has more to show you

Steps 3–9 include FIP-xFIP gap risk, splits edges, arsenal matchups, hot/cold streaks, unlucky barrels, and your final picks summary.

🧪 Try the Full Wizard (Sample Data) Sign up for today's live data

7 more steps in the on-deck circle

Morning Wizard

Park + Weather

Susceptible Pitchers

The Wizard has more to show you

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.