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Study Day
📅 2026-08-28
0
Top-5 Hits
1
Top-15 Hits
26
HRs in Slate
84%
Coverage
244
Scored
What Happened
A high-volume day with 26 HRs across scored matchups.
Pitcher vulnerability was the dominant signal — multiple arms with elevated FIP and HR/FB rates.
Why It Worked
Pitcher Vulnerability
10 of the top 15 faced pitchers with FIP ≥ 4.50
Warm Weather
14 top-15 batters played in 75°F+ conditions
HR-Friendly Parks
11 top-15 matchups in parks with factor ≥ 1.05
Hot Bats
4 top-15 batters trending HOT or WARM
Stacking Opportunities
4 same-pitcher stacks for parlay potential
🔥 High Conviction Day
0 matchups met the Golden criteria (pitcher FIP > 5.0 AND HR/FB > 20%).
Stack Alerts:
Grant Holmes: {'batter': 'Hunter Goodman', 'rank': 2, 'score': 74.0}, {'batter': 'Mickey Moniak', 'rank': 8, 'score': 63.0}
Jacob Lopez: {'batter': 'Pete Alonso', 'rank': 3, 'score': 71.0}, {'batter': 'Coby Mayo', 'rank': 7, 'score': 65.0}
Rhett Lowder: {'batter': 'Pete Crow-Armstrong', 'rank': 4, 'score': 71.0}, {'batter': 'Ian Happ', 'rank': 14, 'score': 61.0}
Dean Kremer: {'batter': 'Munetaka Murakami', 'rank': 6, 'score': 67.0}, {'batter': 'Miguel Vargas', 'rank': 11, 'score': 62.0}
Top 15 Matchups
| # | Result | Batter | Pitcher | HR/FB | Score | FIP | Park | Form | Barrel | HR Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | Matt Olson | Tomoyuki Sugano | 25.4% | 75 | 5.5 | 1.07 | · | 13.9% | |
| 2 | — | Hunter Goodman | Grant Holmes | 36.6% | 74 | 4.9 | 1.07 | 🌧️ | 12.1% | |
| 3 | — | Pete Alonso | Jacob Lopez | 33.6% | 71 | 4.9 | 1.25 | · | 9.1% | |
| 4 | — | Pete Crow-Armstrong | Rhett Lowder | 30.3% | 71 | 4.7 | 1.07 | · | 10.6% | |
| 5 | — | Ben Rice | Patrick Sandoval | 36.6% | 68 | 4.2 | 1.07 | · | 10.1% | |
| 6 | — | Munetaka Murakami | Dean Kremer | 34.3% | 67 | 5.3 | 0.93 | · | 12.2% | |
| 7 | — | Coby Mayo | Jacob Lopez | 38.4% | 65 | 4.9 | 1.25 | 🌤️ | 8.6% | |
| 8 | — | Mickey Moniak | Grant Holmes | 25.2% | 63 | 4.9 | 1.07 | 🌤️ | 9.4% | |
| 9 | — | Andrés Chaparro | Eury Pérez | 41.0% | 62 | 3.8 | 1.21 | 🌤️ | 11.2% | |
| 10 | ✅ | Heriberto Hernández | Jackson Kent | 39.6% | 62 | 4.6 | 1.21 | 🌤️ | 10.2% | 106.9 mph · 445ft · 31.0° |
| 11 | — | Miguel Vargas | Dean Kremer | 27.6% | 62 | 5.3 | 0.93 | · | 10.5% | |
| 12 | — | Yordan Alvarez | Christian Scott | 17.8% | 62 | 3.7 | 0.94 | 🌧️ | 11.4% | |
| 13 | — | Max Muncy | Drew Anderson | 29.5% | 61 | 4.3 | 0.96 | · | 10.6% | |
| 14 | — | Ian Happ | Rhett Lowder | 25.9% | 61 | 4.7 | 1.07 | 🌧️ | 10.1% | |
| 15 | — | Junior Caminero | Casey Mize | 21.9% | 61 | 3.4 | 1.07 | 🌧️ | 10.4% |
All 26 HRs in Slate
Show all ranked picks that hit
| # | Batter | HR/FB | EV | Dist | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heriberto Hernández | 39.6% | 106.9 | 445ft | 31.0° |
| 21 | Michael Harris II | 15.8% | 97.1 | 351ft | 38.0° |
| 31 | Sal Stewart | 15.1% | 101.9 | 382ft | 24.0° |
| 36 | Colson Montgomery | 15.4% | 98.2 | 374ft | 30.0° |
| 37 | Kody Clemens | 13.7% | 101.7 | 380ft | 37.0° |
| 43 | Paul Goldschmidt | 19.4% | 106.5 | 430ft | 32.0° |
| 45 | Jackson Merrill | 15.0% | 104.4 | 425ft | 29.0° |
| 51 | Carter Jensen | 18.0% | 97.8 | 367ft | 27.0° |
| 53 | Michael Busch | 15.9% | 102.5 | 374ft | 27.0° |
| 54 | Kazuma Okamoto | 15.6% | 106.8 | 400ft | 23.0° |
| 63 | Bryce Eldridge | 20.2% | 107.8 | 381ft | 22.0° |
| 72 | Brady House | 13.0% | 110.9 | 445ft | 28.0° |
| 74 | Brooks Lee | 20.2% | 103.4 | 380ft | 38.0° |
| 91 | Harry Ford | 18.4% | 100.2 | 393ft | 31.0° |
| 96 | Yandy Díaz | 12.3% | 103.0 | 371ft | 27.0° |
| 101 | Tyler Stephenson | 8.5% | 103.0 | 399ft | 30.0° |
| 108 | Dominic Canzone | 14.4% | 112.8 | 433ft | 23.0° |
| 115 | Pedro Ramírez | 8.7% | 104.2 | 390ft | 30.0° |
| 117 | Corbin Carroll | 13.5% | 106.4 | 419ft | 22.0° |
| 143 | Cedric Mullins | 8.2% | 94.3 | 360ft | 33.0° |
| 149 | George Springer | 9.1% | 102.1 | 416ft | 30.0° |
| 157 | Jose Trevino | 6.4% | 102.8 | 395ft | 28.0° |
| 172 | Danny Jansen | 14.6% | 103.3 | 395ft | 32.0° |
| 196 | Jimmy Crooks | 6.9% | 104.9 | 416ft | 28.0° |
| 198 | Tim Tawa | 7.9% | 99.8 | 379ft | 31.0° |
| 210 | Nathan Lukes | 13.1% | 101.5 | 379ft | 29.0° |