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Study Day
📅 2026-08-27
0
Top-5 Hits
1
Top-15 Hits
15
HRs in Slate
100%
Coverage
114
Scored
What Happened
Pitcher vulnerability was the dominant signal — multiple arms with elevated FIP and HR/FB rates.
Why It Worked
Pitcher Vulnerability
6 of the top 15 faced pitchers with FIP ≥ 4.50
Warm Weather
9 top-15 batters played in 75°F+ conditions
HR-Friendly Parks
11 top-15 matchups in parks with factor ≥ 1.05
Hot Bats
4 top-15 batters trending HOT or WARM
Stacking Opportunities
4 same-pitcher stacks for parlay potential
🔥 High Conviction Day
0 matchups met the Golden criteria (pitcher FIP > 5.0 AND HR/FB > 20%).
Stack Alerts:
Hayden Wesneski: {'batter': 'Ben Rice', 'rank': 1, 'score': 67.0}, {'batter': 'Luis García Jr.', 'rank': 3, 'score': 64.0}, {'batter': 'Trent Grisham', 'rank': 10, 'score': 54.0}, {'batter': 'Spencer Jones', 'rank': 11, 'score': 54.0}
Gabriel Hughes: {'batter': 'Andrés Chaparro', 'rank': 6, 'score': 61.0}, {'batter': 'CJ Abrams', 'rank': 8, 'score': 56.0}
Gordon Graceffo: {'batter': 'Pete Alonso', 'rank': 7, 'score': 60.0}, {'batter': 'Christian Encarnacion-Strand', 'rank': 14, 'score': 52.0}
Jake Irvin: {'batter': 'Willi Castro', 'rank': 13, 'score': 53.0}, {'batter': 'Brett Sullivan', 'rank': 15, 'score': 51.0}
Top 15 Matchups
| # | Result | Batter | Pitcher | HR/FB | Score | FIP | Park | Form | Barrel | HR Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | Ben Rice | Hayden Wesneski | 33.1% | 67 | 3.7 | 1.07 | · | 10.1% | |
| 2 | — | Yordan Alvarez | Gerrit Cole | 19.0% | 66 | 3.4 | 1.07 | 🌧️ | 11.7% | |
| 3 | — | Luis García Jr. | Hayden Wesneski | 34.7% | 64 | 3.7 | 1.07 | · | 9.1% | |
| 4 | — | Matt Olson | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 24.2% | 64 | 3.3 | 1.08 | · | 10.0% | |
| 5 | — | Shohei Ohtani | Chris Sale | 30.8% | 62 | 2.3 | 1.08 | · | 9.6% | |
| 6 | — | Andrés Chaparro | Gabriel Hughes | 37.2% | 61 | 3.9 | 1.21 | 🌤️ | 8.7% | |
| 7 | — | Pete Alonso | Gordon Graceffo | 21.7% | 60 | 4.5 | 0.82 | · | 11.4% | |
| 8 | — | CJ Abrams | Gabriel Hughes | 20.1% | 56 | 3.9 | 1.21 | ❄ | 7.3% | |
| 9 | — | Rafael Devers | Jose Cabrera | 29.6% | 55 | 5.5 | 0.87 | 🌤️ | 8.8% | |
| 10 | — | Trent Grisham | Hayden Wesneski | 24.2% | 54 | 3.7 | 1.07 | · | 8.3% | |
| 11 | — | Spencer Jones | Hayden Wesneski | 22.2% | 54 | 3.7 | 1.07 | 🌤️ | 10.4% | |
| 12 | ✅ | Jac Caglianone | Spencer Arrighetti | 15.6% | 54 | 5.2 | 0.93 | · | 10.8% | 104.9 mph · 409ft · 32.0° |
| 13 | — | Willi Castro | Jake Irvin | 16.3% | 53 | 5.1 | 1.21 | · | 9.7% | |
| 14 | — | Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Gordon Graceffo | 19.1% | 52 | 4.5 | 0.82 | 🌧️ | 12.7% | |
| 15 | — | Brett Sullivan | Jake Irvin | 15.9% | 51 | 5.1 | 1.21 | 🌤️ | 7.2% |
All 15 HRs in Slate
Show all ranked picks that hit
| # | Batter | HR/FB | EV | Dist | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Jac Caglianone | 15.6% | 104.9 | 409ft | 32.0° |
| 18 | Coby Mayo | 15.8% | 111.2 | 446ft | 23.0° |
| 19 | Christian Walker | 14.7% | 100.0 | 369ft | 35.0° |
| 21 | Jackson Chourio | 12.6% | 102.8 | 380ft | 24.0° |
| 22 | Jeremy Peña | 24.2% | 104.3 | 382ft | 24.0° |
| 24 | Drake Baldwin | 13.2% | 106.2 | 402ft | 27.0° |
| 33 | Carter Jensen | 11.4% | 107.5 | 421ft | 34.0° |
| 36 | Daylen Lile | 11.8% | 104.5 | 399ft | 36.0° |
| 51 | Keibert Ruiz | 10.1% | 97.8 | 370ft | 33.0° |
| 54 | Vinnie Pasquantino | 9.7% | 95.6 | 370ft | 36.0° |
| 79 | George Springer | 7.4% | 100.6 | 404ft | 30.0° |
| 82 | Drew Gilbert | 15.1% | 103.5 | 407ft | 28.0° |
| 83 | Gabriel Moreno | 9.8% | 110.0 | 397ft | 20.0° |
| 88 | Ramón Urías | 8.1% | 104.4 | 401ft | 29.0° |
| 96 | Blaze Jordan | 6.1% | 102.8 | 416ft | 28.0° |