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Strong Day
📅 2026-07-09
2
Top-5 Hits
6
Top-15 Hits
34
HRs in Slate
92%
Coverage
211
Scored
What Happened
A strong day: 2 of the top 5 hit home runs.
The top 15 captured 6 home runs — exceptional concentration at the top of the board.
A high-volume day with 34 HRs across scored matchups.
Pitcher vulnerability was the dominant signal — multiple arms with elevated FIP and HR/FB rates.
Why It Worked
Pitcher Vulnerability
4 of the top 15 faced pitchers with FIP ≥ 4.50
Warm Weather
10 top-15 batters played in 75°F+ conditions
HR-Friendly Parks
7 top-15 matchups in parks with factor ≥ 1.05
Hot Bats
7 top-15 batters trending HOT or WARM
Stacking Opportunities
2 same-pitcher stacks for parlay potential
🔥 High Conviction Day
0 matchups met the Golden criteria (pitcher FIP > 5.0 AND HR/FB > 20%).
Stack Alerts:
Brady Singer: {'batter': 'Kyle Schwarber', 'rank': 1, 'score': 79.0}, {'batter': 'Bryce Harper', 'rank': 2, 'score': 69.0}, {'batter': 'Brandon Marsh', 'rank': 9, 'score': 61.0}
David Peterson: {'batter': 'Pete Alonso', 'rank': 13, 'score': 58.0}, {'batter': 'Samuel Basallo', 'rank': 14, 'score': 57.0}
Top 15 Matchups
| # | Result | Batter | Pitcher | HR/FB | Score | FIP | Park | Form | Barrel | HR Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | Kyle Schwarber | Brady Singer | 42.0% | 79 | 5.9 | 1.06 | 🌧️ | 14.3% | |
| 2 | — | Bryce Harper | Brady Singer | 41.1% | 69 | 5.9 | 1.06 | · | 11.3% | |
| 3 | ✅ | Ben Rice | Drew Rasmussen | 34.9% | 67 | 3.3 | 1.02 | · | 10.1% | 103.9 mph · 422ft · 29.0° |
| 4 | — | Kody Clemens | Gavin Williams | 30.4% | 66 | 3.9 | 1.01 | 🌤️ | 12.4% | |
| 5 | ✅ | Junior Caminero | Paul Blackburn | 25.6% | 65 | 3.6 | 1.02 | 🌤️ | 9.3% | 108.3 mph · 438ft · 25.0° |
| 6 | ✅ | Dominic Canzone | Janson Junk | 34.6% | 64 | 4.1 | 1.05 | · | 10.7% | 106.1 mph · 421ft · 32.0° |
| 7 | — | Hunter Goodman | Carson Whisenhunt | 19.5% | 63 | 3.5 | 0.79 | 🌤️ | 16.7% | |
| 8 | ✅ | Juan Soto | Michael Wacha | 29.3% | 62 | 4.0 | 0.98 | 🌧️ | 10.2% | 106.6 mph · 435ft · 29.0° |
| 9 | — | Brandon Marsh | Brady Singer | 28.4% | 61 | 5.9 | 1.06 | 🌤️ | 10.2% | |
| 10 | — | Pete Crow-Armstrong | Trevor Rogers | 26.2% | 60 | 4.1 | 1.10 | 🌧️ | 8.5% | |
| 11 | ✅ | Manny Machado | Merrill Kelly | 25.0% | 59 | 6.4 | 0.86 | 🌤️ | 12.5% | 101.4 mph · 368ft · 34.0° |
| 12 | — | Mike Trout | Nathan Eovaldi | 22.9% | 58 | 4.2 | 0.92 | 🌤️ | 12.7% | |
| 13 | — | Pete Alonso | David Peterson | 19.2% | 58 | 4.0 | 1.10 | 🌧️ | 8.8% | |
| 14 | — | Samuel Basallo | David Peterson | 28.3% | 57 | 4.0 | 1.10 | · | 8.6% | |
| 15 | ✅ | Matt Olson | Mitch Keller | 25.7% | 57 | 4.3 | 0.78 | 🌤️ | 10.0% | 107.6 mph · 404ft · 37.0° |
All 34 HRs in Slate
Show all ranked picks that hit
| # | Batter | HR/FB | EV | Dist | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ben Rice | 34.9% | 103.9 | 422ft | 29.0° |
| 5 | Junior Caminero | 25.6% | 108.3 | 438ft | 25.0° |
| 6 | Dominic Canzone | 34.6% | 106.1 | 421ft | 32.0° |
| 8 | Juan Soto | 29.3% | 106.6 | 435ft | 29.0° |
| 11 | Manny Machado | 25.0% | 101.4 | 368ft | 34.0° |
| 15 | Matt Olson | 25.7% | 107.6 | 404ft | 37.0° |
| 21 | Jordan Walker | 27.4% | 106.5 | 406ft | 28.0° |
| 25 | Seiya Suzuki | 23.1% | 110.9 | 432ft | 25.0° |
| 34 | Jake Bauers | 19.3% | 110.3 | 391ft | 22.0° |
| 39 | Esmerlyn Valdez | 25.2% | 104.3 | 394ft | 35.0° |
| 41 | Gabriel Arias | 20.4% | 110.8 | 442ft | 23.0° |
| 50 | Royce Lewis | 13.0% | 103.7 | 389ft | 36.0° |
| 57 | Justin Foscue | 31.6% | 104.0 | 429ft | 25.0° |
| 60 | Randy Arozarena | 13.1% | 104.4 | 414ft | 26.0° |
| 75 | Chase DeLauter | 13.0% | 97.9 | 394ft | 27.0° |
| 79 | Casey Schmitt | 10.9% | 104.4 | 420ft | 31.0° |
| 81 | Griffin Conine | 18.8% | 106.5 | 373ft | 42.0° |
| 88 | Tyler O'Neill | 11.8% | 102.5 | 398ft | 31.0° |
| 97 | Bryce Eldridge | 10.5% | 106.1 | 394ft | 27.0° |
| 105 | Bryan Reynolds | 11.0% | 102.2 | 390ft | 30.0° |
| 113 | Willy Adames | 11.1% | 106.6 | 407ft | 31.0° |
| 117 | Nolan Arenado | 9.6% | 101.1 | 387ft | 26.0° |
| 119 | Lane Thomas | 8.0% | 104.9 | 406ft | 31.0° |
| 120 | Brice Turang | 11.2% | 103.4 | 419ft | 28.0° |
| 125 | Brandon Nimmo | 6.5% | 104.4 | 394ft | 22.0° |
| 129 | Caleb Durbin | 14.3% | 98.2 | 379ft | 31.0° |
| 141 | Patrick Bailey | 7.5% | 103.1 | 384ft | 39.0° |
| 159 | Ezequiel Duran | 7.6% | 104.0 | 419ft | 31.0° |
| 168 | Austin Wells | 8.4% | 100.4 | 375ft | 27.0° |
| 170 | Mike Yastrzemski | 7.2% | 104.8 | 403ft | 30.0° |
| 187 | Jake Rogers | 8.3% | 96.6 | 363ft | 27.0° |
| 196 | Willi Castro | 4.2% | 97.7 | 391ft | 31.0° |
| 201 | Zach McKinstry | 6.6% | 101.2 | 399ft | 25.0° |
| 210 | Jake Mangum | 5.3% | 104.6 | 405ft | 34.0° |