MLB Home Run Predictions — April 23, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-04-23: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for April 23, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
20
HRs by scored batters
2/5
Top-5 picks that homered
4/15
Top-15 picks that homered
49.0 vs 35.4
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | James Wood | JR Ritchie | 90 | A+ Premium |
| #4 | Mickey Moniak | Matt Waldron | 76 | B AboveAvg |
| #7 | CJ Abrams | JR Ritchie | 70 | B AboveAvg |
| #8 | Ian Happ | Cristopher Sánchez | 67 | C+ Value |
| #16 | Oneil Cruz | Jacob deGrom | 61 | C+ Value |
| #27 | Xander Bogaerts | Ryan Feltner | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #28 | Riley Greene | Brandon Sproat | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #31 | Seiya Suzuki | Cristopher Sánchez | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #37 | Ryan Jeffers | Christian Scott | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #40 | Brandon Marsh | Edward Cabrera | 48 | D Below |
| #44 | Spencer Torkelson | Brandon Sproat | 47 | D Below |
| #53 | Tristan Gray | Christian Scott | 46 | D Below |
| #66 | Andrew Benintendi | Michael Soroka | 43 | D Below |
| #68 | Corey Seager | Bubba Chandler | 43 | D Below |
| #77 | Ozzie Albies | Cade Cavalli | 39 | D Below |
| #89 | Michael Busch | Cristopher Sánchez | 35 | D Below |
| #98 | Evan Carter | Bubba Chandler | 32 | D Below |
| #112 | Carlos Narváez | Cam Schlittler | 28 | D Below |
| #115 | Brett Baty | Joe Ryan | 27 | D Below |
| #127 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | Payton Tolle | 21 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Tristan Gray, Andrew Benintendi, Corey Seager, Ozzie Albies, Michael Busch, Evan Carter, Carlos Narváez, Brett Baty, Jazz Chisholm Jr.
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.