STL
@
2:10p
KC
Stadium Conditions
Kauffman Stadium
First pitch 2:10p
· roof open
Park 0.90×
Wind 3 mph slight_out
76°F
open
-6
4 mph · in
78°F
2:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
4 mph · in
78°F
3:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
4 mph · in
78°F
4:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
4 mph · in
78°F
5:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
4 mph · in
78°F
6:10p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.90
76°F, wind 3 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker ⚡ | 57 | 🟠 C | · | · | 67 | 0.248 | 94.4 | 9.4% | 30.2% vs RHP | 408 | 19.4% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 43 |
| 2 |
|
Alec Burleson | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 73 | 0.200 | 91.6 | 8.5% | 24.0% vs RHP | 405 | 18.1% | 41.7% | 19.6% | 44 |
| 3 |
|
Lars Nootbaar ⚡ | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 151 | 0.177 | 94.9 | 8.9% | 12.5% vs RHP | 439 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 181 | 0.163 | 89.7 | 6.7% | 17.2% vs RHP | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.1% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Nathan Church | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 185 | 0.143 | 85.9 | 7.6% | 23.8% vs RHP | 387 | 6.8% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Jimmy Crooks | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 192 | 0.139 | 91.1 | 7.1% | 12.5% vs RHP | 374 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 17 |
| 7 |
|
Jj Wetherholt | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 195 | 0.137 | 90.4 | 7.0% | 16.7% vs RHP | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 41 |
| 8 |
|
Masyn Winn | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 225 | 0.083 | 87.4 | 4.5% | 10.0% vs RHP | 379 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 36 |
6 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jac Caglianone | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 92 | 0.179 | 93.4 | 9.9% | 25.0% vs RHP | 412 | 12.1% | 27.3% | 18.5% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Michael Massey | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 136 | 0.196 | 91.1 | 7.5% | 11.5% vs RHP | 398 | 9.3% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Carter Jensen | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 144 | 0.179 | 90.9 | 7.4% | 17.6% vs RHP | 382 | 13.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Lane Thomas ⚡ | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 171 | 0.130 | 87.4 | 5.7% | 18.2% vs RHP | 413 | 15.4% | 30.0% | 10.7% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Nick Loftin | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 199 | 0.150 | 87.4 | 6.3% | 8.3% vs RHP | 381 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 23 |
| 6 |
|
Isaac Collins | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 222 | 0.091 | 88.7 | 6.5% | 6.5% vs RHP | 377 | 4.8% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 35 |