2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
STL
@ 2:10p
KC
Kauffman Stadium · 14 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Kauffman Stadium

First pitch 2:10p · roof open
Park 0.90× Wind 3 mph slight_out 76°F open
-6
4 mph · in
78°F
2:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
4 mph · in
78°F
3:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
4 mph · in
78°F
4:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
4 mph · in
78°F
5:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
4 mph · in
78°F
6:10p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.90

76°F, wind 3 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Stephen Kolek
Stephen Kolek RHP
0.91 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.05 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 57 🟠 C · · 67 0.248 94.4 9.4% 30.2% vs RHP 408 19.4% 16.7% 17.2% 43
2 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 73 0.200 91.6 8.5% 24.0% vs RHP 405 18.1% 41.7% 19.6% 44
3 Lars Nootbaar Lars Nootbaar 39 ⚪ D · · 151 0.177 94.9 8.9% 12.5% vs RHP 439 0.0% 0.0% 8.9% 27
4 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 34 ⚪ D · · 181 0.163 89.7 6.7% 17.2% vs RHP 405 0.0% 0.0% 12.1% 33
5 Nathan Church Nathan Church 34 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 185 0.143 85.9 7.6% 23.8% vs RHP 387 6.8% 0.0% 8.3% 20
6 Jimmy Crooks Jimmy Crooks 32 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 192 0.139 91.1 7.1% 12.5% vs RHP 374 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 17
7 Jj Wetherholt Jj Wetherholt 31 ⚪ D · · 195 0.137 90.4 7.0% 16.7% vs RHP 392 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 41
8 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 22 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 225 0.083 87.4 4.5% 10.0% vs RHP 379 2.9% 0.0% 7.2% 36
Dustin May
Dustin May RHP
0.57 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.52 ·
6 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jac Caglianone Jac Caglianone 48 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 92 0.179 93.4 9.9% 25.0% vs RHP 412 12.1% 27.3% 18.5% 31
2 Michael Massey Michael Massey 42 ⚪ D · · 136 0.196 91.1 7.5% 11.5% vs RHP 398 9.3% 12.5% 10.1% 29
3 Carter Jensen Carter Jensen 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 144 0.179 90.9 7.4% 17.6% vs RHP 382 13.0% 10.0% 10.0% 36
4 Lane Thomas Lane Thomas 36 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 171 0.130 87.4 5.7% 18.2% vs RHP 413 15.4% 30.0% 10.7% 31
5 Nick Loftin Nick Loftin 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 199 0.150 87.4 6.3% 8.3% vs RHP 381 4.5% 0.0% 6.3% 23
6 Isaac Collins Isaac Collins 24 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 222 0.091 88.7 6.5% 6.5% vs RHP 377 4.8% 0.0% 6.2% 35
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