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CLE
@
2:10p
HOU
Stadium Conditions
Minute Maid Park
First pitch 2:10p
· roof retractable
Park 0.98×
Wind 7 mph in
86°F
retractable
-8
11 mph · in
93°F
2:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
11 mph · in
93°F
3:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
11 mph · in
93°F
4:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
11 mph · in
93°F
5:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
11 mph · in
93°F
6:10p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.18
86°F, wind 7 mph SSW (in) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
6 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Christian Walker | 63 | 🔵 C+ | +390 | 🌧️ COOL | 33 | 0.252 | 90.4 | 9.2% | 30.0% vs RHP | 390 | 21.6% | 16.7% | 24.3% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 46 | ⚪ D | +500 | · | 109 | 0.175 | 87.0 | 7.3% | 20.8% vs RHP | 367 | 11.1% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Jeremy Peña | 45 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 113 | 0.172 | 86.9 | 6.0% | 17.2% vs RHP | 388 | 10.0% | 16.7% | 21.0% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Cam Smith | 44 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 126 | 0.136 | 89.9 | 9.7% | 15.6% vs RHP | 415 | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 34 |
| 5 |
|
Joey Loperfido | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 204 | 0.085 | 89.2 | 6.6% | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 15 |
| 6 |
|
Christian Vazquez | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 206 | 0.118 | 85.7 | 3.5% | 12.0% vs RHP | 373 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 17 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Travis Bazzana | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 76 | 0.202 | 89.1 | 6.0% | 17.2% vs RHP | 395 | 15.6% | 16.7% | 26.2% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Kyle Manzardo | 53 | 🟠 C | · | · | 77 | 0.169 | 88.9 | 9.1% | 21.6% vs RHP | 388 | 12.1% | 20.0% | 23.1% | 22 |
| 3 |
|
Daniel Schneemann | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 115 | 0.153 | 87.6 | 6.9% | 15.6% vs RHP | 398 | 7.9% | 14.3% | 19.4% | 15 |
| 4 |
|
Gabriel Arias | 45 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 116 | 0.154 | 91.9 | 9.0% | 40.0% vs RHP | 383 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 14.7% | 7 |
| 5 |
|
Brayan Rocchio | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 184 | 0.132 | 86.7 | 4.4% | 12.1% vs RHP | 382 | 5.7% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 31 |
| 6 |
|
Patrick Bailey | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 191 | 0.076 | 89.7 | 6.8% | 5.0% vs RHP | 407 | 3.3% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 15 |
| 7 |
|
Petey Halpin | 26 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 213 | 0.028 | 87.8 | 7.0% | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 6 |
| 8 |
|
Steven Kwan ⚡ | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 230 | 0.045 | 83.2 | 1.8% | 2.4% vs RHP | 381 | 1.5% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 26 |