2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
WSH
@ 1:40p
TB
Tropicana Field · 17 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Tropicana Field

First pitch 1:40p · roof unknown
Park 1.02× Wind 0 mph dome unknown
Hourly forecast unavailable; showing current stadium conditions only.
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.02

Dome — weather irrelevant. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Nick Martinez
Nick Martinez RHP
1.06 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.46 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 72 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 10 0.254 95.7 12.7% 35.7% vs RHP 408 27.6% 25.0% 29.5% 36
2 Curtis Mead Curtis Mead 61 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 41 0.235 88.7 8.6% 23.1% vs RHP 400 18.9% 22.2% 24.9% 27
3 Dylan Crews Dylan Crews 52 🟠 C · · 81 0.144 90.9 8.1% 20.0% vs RHP 415 26.3% 33.3% 16.6% 36
4 Cj Abrams Cj Abrams 50 🟠 C · · 86 0.221 90.1 8.4% 27.7% vs RHP 390 0.0% 0.0% 24.7% 35
5 Daylen Lile Daylen Lile 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 142 0.160 87.6 7.0% 11.8% vs RHP 403 8.8% 0.0% 8.7% 36
6 Jose Tena Jose Tena 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 153 0.126 92.4 8.3% 15.8% vs RHP 398 0.0% 0.0% 7.6% 9
7 Drew Millas Drew Millas 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 202 0.088 82.9 5.0% 14.3% vs RHP 398 5.9% 0.0% 9.3% 7
8 Nasim Nunez Nasim Nunez 15 ⚪ D · · 235 0.041 84.4 · 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 23
Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez LHP
0.64 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.15 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 79 0.203 93.1 8.6% 37.5% vs LHP 406 20.0% 8.3% 17.2% 32
2 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 48 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 96 0.185 90.8 8.5% 7.7% vs LHP 391 14.7% 9.1% 10.2% 35
3 Yandy Diaz Yandy Diaz 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 147 0.178 90.5 7.1% 18.2% vs LHP 385 0.0% 0.0% 12.4% 38
4 Ryan Vilade Ryan Vilade 34 ⚪ D · · 183 0.157 89.3 5.2% 10.0% vs LHP 416 0.0% 0.0% 9.9% 20
5 Jonny Deluca Jonny Deluca 33 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 189 0.154 85.7 5.1% 18.2% vs LHP 410 0.0% 0.0% 13.4% 3
6 Ben Williamson Ben Williamson 26 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 214 0.090 88.8 3.2% 15.4% vs LHP 394 1.9% 12.5% 8.8% 26
7 Nick Fortes Nick Fortes 21 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 226 0.075 86.6 2.9% 0.0% vs LHP 408 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 21
8 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 20 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 232 0.061 83.9 3.9% 0.0% vs LHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 23
9 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 14 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 236 0.056 83.9 · 0.0% vs LHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 28
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